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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

2-0-2  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Oct 6 • 10:20 PM ET
crypto.com Arena
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

0-2-1  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Jacob Markstrom
GOALTENDER

Jacob Markstrom

#25 | Goaltender
@
Darcy Kuemper
GOALTENDER

Darcy Kuemper

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jacob Markstrom None-None 1.00 0.950 --
Darcy Kuemper None-None 2.07 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 2.07
0.950 Ldr Save % 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
42%
📊
KINGS
58%
▲ Edge: +8% (LA)
PANTHERS 54% Book Odds: -118
KINGS 51% Book Odds: -102
Book Implied: 54.10% / 50.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 5.5 66%
Under 5.5 34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
PanthersFLA (-1.5) 0 KingsLA (+1.5)
Los Angeles Kings (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

22.7%

Kings Cover

77.3%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around LA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

FLA By 1 goal

9.2%

FLA By 2-3 goals

6.1%

LA By 1 goal

19.1%

LA By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.5
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 3.50
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2
Simulated Score
2
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 3.50
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Kings Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Sim Kings Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
A
Sim Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
A
Sim o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 FLA @ LA 2 - 1
Dec 17, 2025 LA @ FLA 2 - 3
Nov 6, 2025 FLA @ LA 5 - 2
Jan 29, 2025 LA @ FLA 0 - 3
Jan 22, 2025 FLA @ LA 1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +29.3% more
Los Angeles: 32.3 vs Florida: 25.0
Takeaways (L5) +21.1% more
Los Angeles: 4.5 vs Florida: 3.8
Power Play % (L5) +18.6%
Los Angeles: 22.3% vs Florida: 3.7%
Blocked Shots (L5) +15.6% more
Los Angeles: 14.0 vs Florida: 12.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 2.5 2
LA Score 4.0 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.0 / 12.1 17.0 / 14.0
Faceoff % 60.2 / 49.6 54.2 / 45.8
Hits 26.2 / 30.8 13.0 / 33.0
Power Play % 2228.0 / 371.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 32.3 / 25.0 20.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 3.8 6.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -125 / +105 → -118 / -102 ↑
75%TICKETS25%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
47%TICKETS53%
84%MONEY16%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 5.5
90%TICKETS10%
94%MONEY6%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LA
FLA
LA
FLA
ML
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
ATS
100% 3-0
25% 1-3
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-3
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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