VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
3-1-0 | Road
6
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
2-2-0 | Home
2
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Philipp Grubauer
#31 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carter Hart | None-None | 2.00 | 0.926 | -- |
| Philipp Grubauer | None-None | 3.00 | 0.857 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
2.00 Ldr
GAA
3.00
0.926 Ldr
Save %
0.857
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
58%
KRAKEN
42%
▲ Edge: +0.10% (SEA)
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
62%
Book Odds: -166
KRAKEN
42%
Book Odds: +140
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
42%
Under 6.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
VEGAS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
VGK By 1 goal
18.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.9%
SEA By 1 goal
8.6%
SEA By 2-3 goals
5.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Vegas
3.8
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Seattle
2.2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
Vegas
1
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights
Win
58% Win Prob
C
Sim
Kraken
Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Golden Knights (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Kraken (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 4.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 6, 2026
VGK @ SEA
6 - 2
Apr 15, 2026
SEA @ VGK
1 - 4
Apr 9, 2026
VGK @ SEA
3 - 4
Jan 31, 2026
SEA @ VGK
3 - 2
Oct 11, 2025
VGK @ SEA
1 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+21.1% more
Vegas: 25.1
vs
Seattle: 19.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+14.7% more
Vegas: 32.4
vs
Seattle: 27.7
Power Play % (L5)
+8.9%
Vegas: 28.9%
vs
Seattle: 20.0%
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.1%
Vegas: 54.6%
vs
Seattle: 48.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
VGK Score
3.8
6
SEA Score
2.2
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
20.2 / 9.0
14.0 / 12.0
Faceoff %
48.5 / 54.6
51.5 / 48.5
Hits
19.8 / 25.1
17.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
20.0 / 28.9
20.0 / 40.0
Shots on Goal
27.7 / 32.4
27.0 / 28.0
Takeaways
4.8 / 3.1
7.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -175 / +145
→
-166 / +140
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6.5
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
VGK
SEA
VGK
ML
75%
3-1
75%
3-1
25%
1-3
50%
2-2
ATS
75%
3-1
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
75%
3-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3
0%
0-4
50%
2-2
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