Home / NHL Projections NHL / Blues @ Blackhawks STL @ CHI

ST. LOUIS

BLUESSTL

1-2-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Tue, Oct 6 • 8:00 PM ET
United Center
View Odds Details →

CHICAGO

BLACKHAWKSCHI

1-3-0  |  Home

4
Goaltending
Joel Hofer
GOALTENDER

Joel Hofer

#30 | Goaltender
@
Spencer Knight
GOALTENDER

Spencer Knight

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joel Hofer None-None 2.06 0.895 --
Spencer Knight None-None 2.00 0.929 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.06 GAA Ldr 2.00
0.895 Save % Ldr 0.929
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
BLUES
56%
📊
BLACKHAWKS
44%
▲ Edge: +0.40% (CHI)
BLUES 58% Book Odds: -140
BLACKHAWKS 44% Book Odds: +127
Book Implied: 58.30% / 44.10%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.0 34%
Under 6.0 66%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Chicago)
BluesSTL (-1.5) 0 BlackhawksCHI (+1.5)
Chicago Blackhawks (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Blues Cover

24.2%

Blackhawks Cover

75.8%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CHI +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)

STL By 1 goal

19.4%

STL By 2-3 goals

33.3%

CHI By 1 goal

9.8%

CHI By 2-3 goals

6.6%

AI Model Projected Score
3.2
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.80
1.8
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.20
Simulated Score
2
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 3.80
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blues Loss
56% Win Prob
D
Sim Blackhawks Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Blackhawks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.4
D
Sim Blackhawks (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI u6.0 Push
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Sim u6.0 Push
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 STL @ CHI 2 - 4
Apr 11, 2026 STL @ CHI 5 - 3
Jan 7, 2026 STL @ CHI 3 - 7
Dec 12, 2025 CHI @ STL 2 - 3
Oct 15, 2025 CHI @ STL 8 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +33.9% more
St. Louis: 21.1 vs Chicago: 13.9
Shots on Goal (L5) +19.5% more
St. Louis: 24.7 vs Chicago: 19.9
Blocked Shots (L5) +16.5% more
St. Louis: 12.6 vs Chicago: 10.6
Takeaways (L5) +17.7% more
Chicago: 4.1 vs St. Louis: 3.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
STL Score 3.2 2
CHI Score 1.8 4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 10.6 / 12.6 13.0 / 8.0
Faceoff % 41.2 / 39.9 45.2 / 51.6
Hits 13.9 / 21.1 18.0 / 28.0
Power Play % 0.0 / 0.0 50.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 19.9 / 24.7 21.0 / 28.0
Takeaways 4.1 / 3.4 3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -110 / -110 → -140 / +127 ↓
76%TICKETS24%
67%MONEY33%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
26%TICKETS74%
60%MONEY40%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
87%TICKETS13%
88%MONEY12%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHI
STL
CHI
STL
ML
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
ATS
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
100% 4-0
33% 1-2
TTL
33% 1-2-1
50% 1-1-1
67% 2-1-1
50% 1-1-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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