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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

3-1-0  |  Road

5
FINAL
Tue, Oct 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Prudential Center
View Odds Details →

NEW JERSEY

DEVILSNJ

1-2-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Karel Vejmelka
GOALTENDER

Karel Vejmelka

#70 | Goaltender
@
Jake Allen
GOALTENDER

Jake Allen

#34 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Karel Vejmelka None-None 3.01 0.909 --
Jake Allen None-None 5.22 0.839 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
3.01 Ldr GAA 5.22
0.909 Ldr Save % 0.839
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
32%
📊
DEVILS
68%
▲ Edge: +14.40% (NJ)
MAMMOTH 49% Book Odds: +106
DEVILS 54% Book Odds: -117
Book Implied: 48.50% / 53.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0 49%
Under 6.0 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (New Jersey)
MammothUTA (+1.5) 0 DevilsNJ (-1.5)
New Jersey Devils (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

21.2%

Devils Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)

UTA By 1 goal

8.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

5.5%

NJ By 1 goal

18.9%

NJ By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
UTAH
Book Implied: 2.20
3.8
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 2.20
3
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Devils Loss
68% Win Prob
A
Sim Mammoth Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Devils (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Mammoth (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim o6.0 Win
Proj Total: 7.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 UTA @ NJ 5 - 3
Jan 3, 2026 UTA @ NJ 1 - 4
Dec 19, 2025 NJ @ UTA 2 - 1
Mar 1, 2025 NJ @ UTA 3 - 1
Oct 14, 2024 UTA @ NJ 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +33.9% more
New Jersey: 41.6 vs Utah: 31.1
Power Play % (L5) +62.9%
Utah: 62.9% vs New Jersey: 0.0%
Hits (L5) +54.1% more
Utah: 31.2 vs New Jersey: 14.3
Blocked Shots (L5) +33.8% more
Utah: 14.1 vs New Jersey: 9.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 2.2 5
NJ Score 3.8 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.3 / 14.1 14.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 47.6 / 57.2 48.6 / 51.4
Hits 14.3 / 31.2 10.0 / 24.0
Power Play % 0.0 / 62.9 20.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 41.6 / 31.1 33.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 4.0 / 5.7 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +114 / -135 → +106 / -117 ↓
27%TICKETS73%
48%MONEY52%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
68%TICKETS32%
70%MONEY30%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
78%TICKETS22%
83%MONEY17%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NJ
UTA
NJ
UTA
ML
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
75% 3-1
ATS
0% 0-3
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
0% 0-2-1
75% 3-1
50% 1-1-1
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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