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NASHVILLE

PREDATORSNSH

1-1-1  |  Road

4
FINAL
Tue, Oct 6 • 7:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Arena
View Odds Details →

TORONTO

MAPLE LEAFSTOR

2-2-0  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Juuse Saros
GOALTENDER

Juuse Saros

#74 | Goaltender
@
Anthony Stolarz
GOALTENDER

Anthony Stolarz

#41 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Juuse Saros None-None 4.65 0.865 --
Anthony Stolarz None-None 3.71 0.840 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.65 GAA Ldr 3.71
0.865 Ldr Save % 0.840
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PREDATORS
29%
📊
MAPLE LEAFS
71%
▲ Edge: +8.50% (TOR)
PREDATORS 42% Book Odds: +140
MAPLE LEAFS 62% Book Odds: -166
Book Implied: 41.70% / 62.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 58%
Under 5.5 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
TORONTO
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Toronto)
PredatorsNSH (+1.5) 0 Maple LeafsTOR (-1.5)
Toronto Maple Leafs (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Predators Cover

21.2%

Maple Leafs Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around TOR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)

NSH By 1 goal

8.6%

NSH By 2-3 goals

5.5%

TOR By 1 goal

18.9%

TOR By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2
3.8
TORONTO
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
3
NASHVILLE
Book Implied: 2
2
TORONTO
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Maple Leafs Win
71% Win Prob
A
Sim Predators Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Maple Leafs (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Predators (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o5.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim u5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 6, 2026 NSH @ TOR 4 - 5
Dec 20, 2025 TOR @ NSH 3 - 5
Oct 14, 2025 NSH @ TOR 4 - 7
Mar 22, 2025 TOR @ NSH 2 - 5
Dec 4, 2024 NSH @ TOR 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +26.7% more
Toronto: 27.9 vs Nashville: 22.0
Takeaways (L5) +30.5% more
Nashville: 5.1 vs Toronto: 3.6
Power Play % (L5) +8.3%
Nashville: 22.2% vs Toronto: 13.9%
Faceoff % (L5) +7.5%
Nashville: 52.9% vs Toronto: 45.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NSH Score 2.2 4
TOR Score 3.8 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 14.3 / 13.7 11.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 45.3 / 52.9 64.2 / 35.8
Hits 21.1 / 19.6 20.0 / 22.0
Power Play % 13.9 / 22.2 33.3 / 100.0
Shots on Goal 27.9 / 22.0 37.0 / 25.0
Takeaways 3.6 / 5.1 5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +124 / -148 → +140 / -166 ↑
7%TICKETS93%
13%MONEY87%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
50%TICKETS50%
26%MONEY74%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 5.5 ↓
80%TICKETS20%
86%MONEY14%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
NSH
TOR
NSH
ML
50% 2-2
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
33% 1-2
ATS
0% 0-4
0% 0-3
75% 3-1
67% 2-1
TTL
100% 4-0
100% 3-0
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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