Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Georgia Tech @ Virginia Tech GT @ VT

GEORGIA TECH

GEORGIA TECHGT

2-4  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sat, Oct 17 • 3:30 PM ET
Lane Stadium
View Odds Details →

VIRGINIA TECH

VIRGINIA TECHVT

5-2  |  Home

34
Key Game
Alex Bacchetta
KEY GAME

Alex Bacchetta

#47 | Punter
@
John Love
KEY GAME

John Love

#17 | Place kicker
Player
Alex Bacchetta None-None
John Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
GEORGIA TECH
70%
📊
VIRGINIA TECH
30%
▲ Edge: +44.20% (GT)
GEORGIA TECH 26% Book Odds: +284
VIRGINIA TECH 78% Book Odds: -345
Book Implied: 26% / 77.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
52.0
Projected
Book Total
56.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +4.0 (Under)
Over 56.0 41%
Under 56.0 59%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-9.0
GEORGIA TECH
Book Spread
+8.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.5 points (Georgia Tech)
Georgia TechGT (+8.5) 0 Virginia TechVT (-8.5)
Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets (+8.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Georgia Tech Cover

74.0%

Virginia Tech Cover

26.0%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around GT -9.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (GT)

GT By 1-6 points

15.7%

GT By 7-13 points

19.7%

VT By 1-6 points

11.5%

VT By 7-13 points

8.0%

AI Model Projected Score
30.5
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 23.80
21.5
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Implied: 32.20
Simulated Score
28
GEORGIA TECH
Book Implied: 23.80
32
VIRGINIA TECH
Book Implied: 32.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Georgia Tech Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Sim Virginia Tech Win
65% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Georgia Tech (+8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -9.0
A
Sim Georgia Tech (+8.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +4.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u56.0 Loss
Proj Total: 52.0
B
Sim o56.0 Win
Proj Total: 60.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 17, 2026 GT @ VT 24 - 34
Oct 11, 2025 VT @ GT 20 - 35
Oct 26, 2024 GT @ VT 6 - 21
Nov 5, 2022 GT @ VT 28 - 27
Oct 30, 2021 VT @ GT 26 - 17
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +12.1% more
Georgia Tech: 149.6 vs Virginia Tech: 131.6
Turnovers (L5) +48.0% more
Virginia Tech: 1.4 vs Georgia Tech: 0.9
Total Yards (L5) +8.7% more
Virginia Tech: 425.0 vs Georgia Tech: 391.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
GT Score 30.5 24
VT Score 21.5 34
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.2 / 21.9 19.0 / 21.0
Rushing Yards 131.6 / 149.6 159.0 / 93.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.4 / 0.4 0.31 / 0.36
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.54 / 0.46
Total Yards 425.0 / 391.0 409.0 / 428.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 0.9 1.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +284 / -370 → +284 / -345 ↓
5%TICKETS95%
5%MONEY95%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +9.5 / -9.5 → +8.5 / -8.5 ↓
70%TICKETS30%
75%MONEY25%
Total (O/U)
Open: 55 → 56 ↑
31%TICKETS69%
37%MONEY63%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
GT
2-5-0 (28.6%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -7.6
VT Advantage
6-2-0 (75.0%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
GT
1-6-0 (14.3%)
Margin: -3.6 ATS +/-: -7.6
VT Advantage
5-3-0 (62.5%)
Margin: 14.5 ATS +/-: +0.9
⚖️ Over/Under
GT
5-2-0
O: 71.4% / U: 28.6% Total +/-: +4.8
VT
5-3-0
O: 62.5% / U: 37.5% Total +/-: +3.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VT
GT
VT
GT
ML
62% 5-3
29% 2-5
62% 5-3
43% 3-4
ATS
38% 3-5
29% 2-5
38% 3-5
57% 4-3
TTL
12% 1-7
43% 3-4
50% 4-4
86% 6-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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