CALGARY
FLAMESCGY
0-3-0 | Road
1
SEATTLE
KRAKENSEA
2-1-0 | Home
6
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Dustin Wolf
#32 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Joey Daccord
#35 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dustin Wolf | None-None | 6.00 | 0.778 | -- |
| Joey Daccord | None-None | 1.00 | 0.970 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
6.00
GAA
Ldr 1.00
0.778
Save %
Ldr 0.970
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
FLAMES
45%
KRAKEN
55%
▲ Edge: +2.40% (CGY)
FLAMES
42%
Book Odds: +136
KRAKEN
62%
Book Odds: -162
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5
59%
Under 5.5
41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
SEATTLE
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
CGY By 1 goal
8.6%
CGY By 2-3 goals
5.5%
SEA By 1 goal
18.9%
SEA By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Calgary
2.2
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2
Seattle
3.8
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Calgary
2
CALGARY
Book Implied: 2
Seattle
3
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Kraken
Win
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Kraken
Win
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Kraken (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Flames (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 4, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 6
Oct 1, 2026
SEA @ CGY
6 - 1
Apr 11, 2026
CGY @ SEA
1 - 4
Jan 5, 2026
SEA @ CGY
5 - 1
Dec 18, 2025
SEA @ CGY
2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+44.7% more
Seattle: 19.3
vs
Calgary: 13.4
Takeaways (L5)
+37.7% more
Seattle: 5.2
vs
Calgary: 3.8
Shots on Goal (L5)
+13.5% more
Seattle: 28.0
vs
Calgary: 24.7
Power Play % (L5)
+13.3%
Seattle: 30.0%
vs
Calgary: 16.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CGY Score
2.2
1
SEA Score
3.8
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
19.3 / 13.4
22.0 / 7.0
Faceoff %
47.4 / 52.0
50.8 / 49.2
Hits
19.1 / 21.0
21.0 / 29.0
Power Play %
30.0 / 16.7
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
28.0 / 24.7
27.0 / 33.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 3.8
4.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -135 / -135
→
+136 / -162
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
CGY
SEA
CGY
ML
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
ATS
75%
3-1
33%
1-2
25%
1-3
33%
1-2
TTL
50%
2-2
67%
2-1
0%
0-4
0%
0-3
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