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FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

1-0-2  |  Road

2
FINAL
Sun, Oct 4 • 8:00 PM ET
Honda Center
View Odds Details →

ANAHEIM

DUCKSANA

2-0-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Jacob Markstrom
GOALTENDER

Jacob Markstrom

#25 | Goaltender
@
Lukas Dostal
GOALTENDER

Lukas Dostal

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Jacob Markstrom None-None 2.82 0.857 --
Lukas Dostal None-None 1.88 0.935 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.82 GAA Ldr 1.88
0.857 Save % Ldr 0.935
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
PANTHERS
53%
📊
DUCKS
47%
▲ Edge: +0.80% (ANA)
PANTHERS 57% Book Odds: -135
DUCKS 47% Book Odds: +114
Book Implied: 57.40% / 46.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5 50%
Under 6.5 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
ANAHEIM
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
PanthersFLA (-1.5) 0 DucksANA (+1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Panthers Cover

22.7%

Ducks Cover

77.3%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around ANA +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ANA)

FLA By 1 goal

19.1%

FLA By 2-3 goals

34.1%

ANA By 1 goal

9.2%

ANA By 2-3 goals

6.1%

AI Model Projected Score
4
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4
2.5
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
5
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4
3
ANAHEIM
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Panthers Loss
53% Win Prob
D
Sim Panthers Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Ducks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Panthers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2026 FLA @ ANA 2 - 3
Nov 4, 2025 FLA @ ANA 3 - 7
Oct 28, 2025 ANA @ FLA 3 - 2
Jan 21, 2025 FLA @ ANA 5 - 2
Jan 18, 2025 ANA @ FLA 0 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.1% more
Florida: 22.0 vs Anaheim: 20.0
Power Play % (L5) +5.6%
Florida: 5.6% vs Anaheim: 0.0%
Faceoff % (L5) +3.9%
Florida: 46.8% vs Anaheim: 42.9%
Takeaways (L5) +39.4% more
Anaheim: 4.4 vs Florida: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
FLA Score 4.0 2
ANA Score 2.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 16.0 / 12.7 20.0 / 11.0
Faceoff % 42.9 / 46.8 44.8 / 55.2
Hits 32.0 / 32.7 26.0 / 27.0
Power Play % 0.0 / 5.6 75.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 20.0 / 22.0 21.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 4.4 / 3.1 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -125 / +105 → -135 / +114 ↓
73%TICKETS27%
60%MONEY40%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
36%TICKETS64%
18%MONEY82%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
86%TICKETS14%
88%MONEY12%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ANA
FLA
ANA
FLA
ML
33% 1-2
0% 0-4
67% 2-1
0% 0-4
ATS
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
33% 1-2
50% 2-2
TTL
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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