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LOS ANGELES

KINGSLA

0-1-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 3 • 10:00 PM ET
SAP Center at San Jose
View Odds Details →

SAN JOSE

SHARKSSJ

1-0-0  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Anton Forsberg
GOALTENDER

Anton Forsberg

#31 | Goaltender
@
Yaroslav Askarov
GOALTENDER

Yaroslav Askarov

#30 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Anton Forsberg None-None 4.77 0.800 --
Yaroslav Askarov None-None 3.79 0.886 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.77 GAA Ldr 3.79
0.800 Save % Ldr 0.886
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KINGS
74%
📊
SHARKS
26%
▲ Edge: +21.20% (LA)
KINGS 52% Book Odds: -110
SHARKS 52% Book Odds: -110
Book Implied: 52.40% / 52.40%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 49%
Under 6.5 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Los Angeles)
KingsLA (+1.5) 0 SharksSJ (-1.5)
Los Angeles Kings (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kings Cover

78.8%

Sharks Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around LA -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LA)

LA By 1 goal

18.9%

LA By 2-3 goals

34.9%

SJ By 1 goal

8.6%

SJ By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
2.2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
2
SAN JOSE
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kings Loss
74% Win Prob
A
Sim Kings Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim Kings (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 LA @ SJ 4 - 5
Jan 7, 2026 SJ @ LA 4 - 3
Nov 20, 2025 LA @ SJ 3 - 4
Oct 28, 2025 LA @ SJ 4 - 3
Mar 30, 2025 SJ @ LA 1 - 8
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +22.0% more
Los Angeles: 29.8 vs San Jose: 23.3
Faceoff % (L5) +21.2%
Los Angeles: 63.8% vs San Jose: 42.6%
Blocked Shots (L5) +40.0% more
San Jose: 21.0 vs Los Angeles: 15.0
Takeaways (L5) +29.9% more
San Jose: 6.9 vs Los Angeles: 5.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LA Score 3.8 4
SJ Score 2.2 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 21.0 / 15.0 11.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 42.6 / 63.8 46.9 / 53.1
Hits 23.3 / 29.8 23.0 / 19.0
Power Play % 25.0 / 0.1 50.0 / 66.7
Shots on Goal 32.0 / 31.0 25.0 / 35.0
Takeaways 6.9 / 5.3 5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +100 / -120 → -110 / -110 ↓
38%TICKETS62%
19%MONEY81%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
48%TICKETS52%
7%MONEY93%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
93%TICKETS7%
98%MONEY2%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SJ
LA
SJ
LA
ML
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
ATS
33% 1-2
100% 3-0
33% 1-2
67% 2-1
TTL
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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