SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

1-1-0  |  Road

1
FINAL
Sat, Oct 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

2-0-1  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Philipp Grubauer
GOALTENDER

Philipp Grubauer

#31 | Goaltender
@
Devon Levi
GOALTENDER

Devon Levi

#27 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Philipp Grubauer None-None 2.03 0.917 --
Devon Levi None-None 1.01 0.950 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.03 GAA Ldr 1.01
0.917 Save % Ldr 0.950
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
33%
📊
OILERS
67%
KRAKEN 37% Book Odds: +170
OILERS 67% Book Odds: -205
Book Implied: 37% / 67.20%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5 33%
Under 6.5 67%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
SEATTLE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
KrakenSEA (+1.5) 0 OilersEDM (-1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kraken Cover

77.3%

Oilers Cover

22.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around SEA +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

SEA By 1 goal

9.2%

SEA By 2-3 goals

6.1%

EDM By 1 goal

19.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
3.5
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
4
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.50
3
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Oilers Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim Kraken Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Kraken (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Kraken (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 5.5
A
Sim o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 SEA @ EDM 1 - 3
Mar 31, 2026 SEA @ EDM 0 - 3
Dec 4, 2025 SEA @ EDM 4 - 9
Nov 29, 2025 EDM @ SEA 4 - 0
Oct 25, 2025 EDM @ SEA 2 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +48.8% more
Edmonton: 29.3 vs Seattle: 19.7
Power Play % (L5) +10.0%
Edmonton: 30.0% vs Seattle: 20.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +9.4% more
Edmonton: 35.0 vs Seattle: 32.0
Faceoff % (L5) +5.3%
Edmonton: 53.6% vs Seattle: 48.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 2.0 1
EDM Score 3.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.7 / 20.0 8.0 / 18.0
Faceoff % 53.6 / 48.3 54.4 / 45.6
Hits 29.3 / 19.7 31.0 / 18.0
Power Play % 30.0 / 20.0 0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 35.0 / 32.0 25.0 / 20.0
Takeaways 3.3 / 6.3 7.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +195 / -238 → +170 / -205 ↓
20%TICKETS80%
6%MONEY94%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
33%TICKETS67%
15%MONEY85%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
94%TICKETS6%
99%MONEY1%