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UTAH

MAMMOTHUTA

2-0-0  |  Road

4
FINAL
Sat, Oct 3 • 7:00 PM ET
Nationwide Arena
View Odds Details →

COLUMBUS

BLUE JACKETSCBJ

1-1-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Sebastian Cossa
GOALTENDER

Sebastian Cossa

#33 | Goaltender
@
Jet Greaves
GOALTENDER

Jet Greaves

#73 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Sebastian Cossa None-None 1.00 0.944 --
Jet Greaves None-None 4.00 0.871 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.00 Ldr GAA 4.00
0.944 Ldr Save % 0.871
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
MAMMOTH
48%
📊
BLUE JACKETS
52%
▲ Edge: +1.40% (CBJ)
MAMMOTH 54% Book Odds: -118
BLUE JACKETS 51% Book Odds: -102
Book Implied: 54.10% / 50.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 42%
Under 6.5 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
COLUMBUS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (Columbus)
MammothUTA (-1.5) 0 Blue JacketsCBJ (+1.5)
Columbus Blue Jackets (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Mammoth Cover

21.2%

Blue Jackets Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CBJ -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CBJ)

UTA By 1 goal

8.6%

UTA By 2-3 goals

5.5%

CBJ By 1 goal

18.9%

CBJ By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
3.8
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
4
UTAH
Book Implied: 4
3
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Blue Jackets Loss
52% Win Prob
D
Sim Mammoth Win
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Blue Jackets (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim Blue Jackets (+1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim o6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 7.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 3, 2026 UTA @ CBJ 4 - 1
Mar 7, 2026 UTA @ CBJ 5 - 4
Jan 11, 2026 CBJ @ UTA 3 - 2
Feb 6, 2025 UTA @ CBJ 3 - 2
Jan 31, 2025 CBJ @ UTA 3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5) +36.6% more
Columbus: 15.0 vs Utah: 11.0
Hits (L5) +51.6% more
Utah: 35.5 vs Columbus: 17.2
Shots on Goal (L5) +28.1% more
Utah: 32.0 vs Columbus: 23.0
Takeaways (L5) +25.1% more
Utah: 7.3 vs Columbus: 5.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
UTA Score 2.2 4
CBJ Score 3.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 15.0 / 11.0 23.0 / 16.0
Faceoff % 55.4 / 72.1 55.7 / 44.3
Hits 17.2 / 35.5 21.0 / 26.0
Power Play % 66.7 / 66.6 0.0 / 75.0
Shots on Goal 23.0 / 32.0 18.0 / 31.0
Takeaways 5.5 / 7.3 8.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -102 / -118 → -118 / -102 ↓
56%TICKETS44%
71%MONEY29%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5 ↓
46%TICKETS54%
82%MONEY18%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6.5 ↑
88%TICKETS12%
96%MONEY4%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
UTA
CBJ
UTA
ML
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
100% 2-0
75% 3-1
ATS
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
50% 1-1
50% 2-2
TTL
50% 1-1
75% 3-1
0% 0-2
75% 3-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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