CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
0-3-0 | Road
3
BUFFALO
SABRESBUF
1-1-0 | Home
4
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen
#1 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 4.07 | 0.857 | -- |
| Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen | None-None | 3.00 | 0.800 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.07
GAA
Ldr 3.00
0.857 Ldr
Save %
0.800
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
38%
SABRES
62%
▲ Edge: +5.10% (CHI)
BLACKHAWKS
33%
Book Odds: +203
SABRES
70%
Book Odds: -230
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.0 (Under)
Over 6.5
35%
Under 6.5
65%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CHI +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHI)
CHI By 1 goal
9.2%
CHI By 2-3 goals
6.1%
BUF By 1 goal
19.1%
BUF By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.50
Buffalo
3.5
BUFFALO
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Chicago
3
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.50
Buffalo
2
BUFFALO
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Sabres
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blackhawks
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Blackhawks (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim
Blackhawks (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.5
A
Sim
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Oct 3, 2026
CHI @ BUF
3 - 4
Apr 13, 2026
BUF @ CHI
5 - 1
Nov 21, 2025
CHI @ BUF
3 - 9
Dec 27, 2024
CHI @ BUF
2 - 6
Oct 19, 2024
BUF @ CHI
4 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+84.8% more
Buffalo: 22.0
vs
Chicago: 11.9
Shots on Goal (L5)
+16.4% more
Buffalo: 26.0
vs
Chicago: 22.3
Faceoff % (L5)
+6.6%
Buffalo: 44.6%
vs
Chicago: 38.0%
Blocked Shots (L5)
+22.6% more
Chicago: 10.3
vs
Buffalo: 8.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
2.0
3
BUF Score
3.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
8.0 / 10.3
8.0 / 11.0
Faceoff %
44.6 / 38.0
52.5 / 47.5
Hits
22.0 / 11.9
29.0 / 18.0
Power Play %
0.0 / 0.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.0 / 22.3
28.0 / 15.0
Takeaways
3.2 / 4.1
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +180 / +180
→
+203 / -230
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6.5
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BUF
CHI
BUF
CHI
ML
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
50%
2-2
60%
3-2
ATS
50%
2-2
80%
4-1
75%
3-1
80%
4-1
TTL
50%
2-2
25%
1-3-1
50%
2-2
75%
3-1-1
Contextual Game News
Islanders Shuffle Defense Pairings in Wake of Romanov's ACL Tear
Gavin McKenna Nets First NHL Goal and Assist in Maple Leafs' Ove…
Blackhawks Celebrate Kane's Return with First Win of Season
Northern Michigan vs. No. 3 Michigan State: Season Opener Previe…
Blackhawks Edge Blues 4-2 in Kane's Emotional Chicago Homecoming