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NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

2-1-0  |  Road

2
FINAL
Fri, Oct 2 • 6:30 PM ET
Little Caesars Arena
View Odds Details →

DETROIT

RED WINGSDET

0-1-0  |  Home

0
Goaltending
Dylan Garand
GOALTENDER

Dylan Garand

#33 | Goaltender
@
John Gibson
GOALTENDER

John Gibson

#36 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Dylan Garand None-None 0.00 1.000 1
John Gibson None-None 1.02 0.950 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
0.00 Ldr GAA 1.02
1.000 Ldr Save % 0.950
1 Ldr SO --
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
52%
📊
RED WINGS
48%
▲ Edge: +4.50% (NYR)
RANGERS 48% Book Odds: +110
RED WINGS 57% Book Odds: -130
Book Implied: 47.60% / 56.50%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5 60%
Under 5.5 40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
NEW YORK
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 points (New York)
RangersNYR (+1.5) 0 Red WingsDET (-1.5)
New York Rangers (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

78.8%

Red Wings Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NYR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

NYR By 1 goal

18.9%

NYR By 2-3 goals

34.9%

DET By 1 goal

8.6%

DET By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2
2.2
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI Rangers Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim Red Wings Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Rangers (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim Red Wings (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim o5.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 2, 2026 NYR @ DET 2 - 0
Apr 4, 2026 DET @ NYR 1 - 4
Nov 16, 2025 DET @ NYR 2 - 1
Nov 7, 2025 NYR @ DET 4 - 1
Nov 9, 2024 NYR @ DET 4 - 0
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +33.4% more
New York: 26.5 vs Detroit: 17.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +17.4% more
New York: 15.7 vs Detroit: 13.0
Faceoff % (L5) +12.8%
New York: 53.8% vs Detroit: 41.0%
Power Play % (L5) +7.5%
Detroit: 24.3% vs New York: 16.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 3.8 2
DET Score 2.2 0
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.0 / 15.7 12.0 / 13.0
Faceoff % 41.0 / 53.8 55.4 / 44.6
Hits 17.7 / 26.5 29.0 / 26.0
Power Play % 24.3 / 16.8 0.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 25.1 / 24.3 22.0 / 21.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 4.1 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +120 / -142 → +110 / -130 ↓
30%TICKETS70%
18%MONEY82%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
78%TICKETS22%
83%MONEY17%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 5.5 ↓
71%TICKETS29%
85%MONEY15%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
NYR
DET
NYR
ML
67% 2-1
80% 4-1
33% 1-2
40% 2-3
ATS
33% 1-2
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
60% 3-2
TTL
0% 0-3
60% 3-2
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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