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SEATTLE

KRAKENSEA

1-0-0  |  Road

6
FINAL
Thu, Oct 1 • 9:00 PM ET
Scotiabank Saddledome
View Odds Details →

CALGARY

FLAMESCGY

0-1-0  |  Home

1
Goaltending
Joey Daccord
GOALTENDER

Joey Daccord

#35 | Goaltender
@
Dustin Wolf
GOALTENDER

Dustin Wolf

#32 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Joey Daccord None-None 1.01 0.960 --
Dustin Wolf None-None 6.02 0.813 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
1.01 Ldr GAA 6.02
0.960 Ldr Save % 0.813
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
KRAKEN
42%
📊
FLAMES
58%
▲ Edge: +5.90% (CGY)
KRAKEN 51% Book Odds: -102
FLAMES 52% Book Odds: -108
Book Implied: 50.50% / 51.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
Over 6.0 50%
Under 6.0 50%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CALGARY
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Calgary)
KrakenSEA (+1.5) 0 FlamesCGY (-1.5)
Calgary Flames (-1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kraken Cover

21.2%

Flames Cover

78.8%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around CGY -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CGY)

SEA By 1 goal

8.6%

SEA By 2-3 goals

5.5%

CGY By 1 goal

18.9%

CGY By 2-3 goals

34.9%

AI Model Projected Score
2.2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.20
3.8
CALGARY
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
2
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 2.20
3
CALGARY
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Flames Loss
58% Win Prob
C
Sim Flames Loss
69% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Flames (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim Kraken (+1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Sim u6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 4, 2026 CGY @ SEA 1 - 6
Oct 1, 2026 SEA @ CGY 6 - 1
Apr 11, 2026 CGY @ SEA 1 - 4
Jan 5, 2026 SEA @ CGY 5 - 1
Dec 18, 2025 SEA @ CGY 2 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Faceoff % (L5) +16.1%
Calgary: 59.1% vs Seattle: 43.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +8.5% more
Calgary: 27.1 vs Seattle: 25.0
Hits (L5) +26.9% more
Seattle: 19.6 vs Calgary: 14.3
Power Play % (L5) +23.7%
Seattle: 24.8% vs Calgary: 1.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
SEA Score 2.2 6
CGY Score 3.8 1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 13.1 / 14.1 9.0 / 20.0
Faceoff % 59.1 / 43.0 51.7 / 48.3
Hits 14.3 / 19.6 24.0 / 20.0
Power Play % 1.2 / 24.8 0.0 / 20.0
Shots on Goal 27.1 / 25.0 25.0 / 32.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 5.4 2.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -115 / -105 → -102 / -108 ↑
47%TICKETS53%
52%MONEY48%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
57%TICKETS43%
49%MONEY51%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
60%TICKETS40%
67%MONEY33%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CGY
SEA
CGY
SEA
ML
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
ATS
33% 1-2
75% 3-1
33% 1-2
25% 1-3
TTL
67% 2-1
50% 2-2
0% 0-3
0% 0-4
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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