CHICAGO
BLACKHAWKSCHI
0-1-0 | Road
2
VEGAS
GOLDEN KNIGHTSVGK
1-0-0 | Home
5
Goaltending
GOALTENDER
Spencer Knight
#30 | Goaltender@
GOALTENDER
Carter Hart
#79 | Goaltender| Player | W-L-OTL | GAA | SV% | SO |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spencer Knight | None-None | 4.01 | 0.889 | -- |
| Carter Hart | None-None | 2.00 | 0.923 | -- |
None-None
W-L-OTL
None-None
4.01
GAA
Ldr 2.00
0.889
Save %
Ldr 0.923
--
SO
--
AI Model Win Probability
BLACKHAWKS
27%
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
73%
▲ Edge: +39.90% (VGK)
BLACKHAWKS
32%
Book Odds: +210
GOLDEN KNIGHTS
33%
Book Odds: +205
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5
42%
Under 6.5
58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
VEGAS
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Vegas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VGK -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VGK)
CHI By 1 goal
8.6%
CHI By 2-3 goals
5.5%
VGK By 1 goal
18.9%
VGK By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
2.2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.50
Vegas
3.8
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Chicago
2
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.50
Vegas
4
VEGAS
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Golden Knights
Win
73% Win Prob
A
Sim
Golden Knights
Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Golden Knights (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
D
Sim
Golden Knights (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
u6.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Sim
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 29, 2026
CHI @ VGK
2 - 5
Mar 14, 2026
CHI @ VGK
0 - 4
Jan 4, 2026
VGK @ CHI
2 - 3
Dec 2, 2025
CHI @ VGK
3 - 4
Mar 28, 2025
VGK @ CHI
5 - 3
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5)
+238.0% more
Vegas: 38.2
vs
Chicago: 11.3
Shots on Goal (L5)
+27.0% more
Vegas: 26.9
vs
Chicago: 21.2
Blocked Shots (L5)
+21.6% more
Vegas: 14.5
vs
Chicago: 11.9
Power Play % (L5)
+16.8%
Vegas: 22.6%
vs
Chicago: 5.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHI Score
2.2
2
VGK Score
3.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
14.5 / 11.9
8.0 / 10.0
Faceoff %
53.3 / 43.2
56.9 / 43.1
Hits
38.2 / 11.3
23.0 / 13.0
Power Play %
22.6 / 5.8
33.3 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
26.9 / 21.2
37.0 / 26.0
Takeaways
3.4 / 3.7
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +205 / +205
→
+210 / +205
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
6.5
↑
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
VGK
CHI
VGK
CHI
ML
90%
9-1
67%
6-3
40%
4-6
56%
5-4
ATS
60%
6-4
67%
6-3
60%
6-4
67%
6-3
TTL
20%
2-8
25%
2-6-1
40%
4-6
75%
6-2-1
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