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VANCOUVER

CANUCKSVAN

1-0-0  |  Road

6
FINAL
Tue, Sep 29 • 10:00 PM ET
Rogers Place
View Odds Details →

EDMONTON

OILERSEDM

0-0-1  |  Home

5
Goaltending
Kevin Lankinen
GOALTENDER

Kevin Lankinen

#32 | Goaltender
@
Tristan Jarry
GOALTENDER

Tristan Jarry

#35 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Kevin Lankinen None-None 4.86 0.865 --
Tristan Jarry None-None 5.85 0.739 --
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
4.86 Ldr GAA 5.85
0.865 Ldr Save % 0.739
-- SO --
AI Model Win Probability
CANUCKS
25%
📊
OILERS
75%
▲ Edge: +43.30% (EDM)
CANUCKS 29% Book Odds: +245
OILERS 32% Book Odds: +215
Book Implied: 29% / 31.70%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
Over 6.5 49%
Under 6.5 51%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
VANCOUVER
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
CanucksVAN (+1.5) 0 OilersEDM (-1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Canucks Cover

77.3%

Oilers Cover

22.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around VAN +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (VAN)

VAN By 1 goal

9.2%

VAN By 2-3 goals

6.1%

EDM By 1 goal

19.1%

EDM By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2.5
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
4
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
2
VANCOUVER
Book Implied: 2.50
4
EDMONTON
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Oilers Loss
75% Win Prob
A
Sim Oilers Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Canucks (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Oilers (-1.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
D
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Oct 1, 2026 EDM @ VAN 9 - 7
Sep 29, 2026 VAN @ EDM 6 - 5
Apr 16, 2026 VAN @ EDM 1 - 6
Jan 17, 2026 EDM @ VAN 6 - 0
Oct 26, 2025 EDM @ VAN 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +80.0% more
Edmonton: 32.0 vs Vancouver: 17.8
Takeaways (L5) +32.3% more
Edmonton: 4.2 vs Vancouver: 3.2
Power Play % (L5) +22.7%
Edmonton: 24.7% vs Vancouver: 2.0%
Shots on Goal (L5) +21.0% more
Edmonton: 30.5 vs Vancouver: 25.2
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
VAN Score 2.5 6
EDM Score 4.0 5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.2 / 12.9 12.0 / 21.0
Faceoff % 57.4 / 49.2 60.0 / 40.0
Hits 32.0 / 17.8 38.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 24.7 / 2.0 25.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal 30.5 / 25.2 37.0 / 23.0
Takeaways 4.2 / 3.2 2.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +225 / +215 → +245 / +215
5%TICKETS95%
7%MONEY93%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
14%TICKETS86%
4%MONEY96%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
71%TICKETS29%
76%MONEY24%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
EDM
VAN
EDM
VAN
ML
75% 3-1
50% 2-2
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
ATS
75% 3-1
25% 1-3
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
TTL
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
25% 1-3
50% 2-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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