Home / NHL Projections NHL / Rangers @ Bruins NYR @ BOS

NEW YORK

RANGERSNYR

0-1-0  |  Road

0
FINAL
Tue, Sep 29 • 8:00 PM ET
TD Garden
View Odds Details →

BOSTON

BRUINSBOS

1-0-0  |  Home

3
Goaltending
Igor Shesterkin
GOALTENDER

Igor Shesterkin

#31 | Goaltender
@
Jeremy Swayman
GOALTENDER

Jeremy Swayman

#1 | Goaltender
Player W-L-OTL GAA SV% SO
Igor Shesterkin None-None 2.02 0.909 --
Jeremy Swayman None-None 0.00 1.000 1
None-None W-L-OTL None-None
2.02 GAA Ldr 0.00
0.909 Save % Ldr 1.000
-- SO Ldr 1
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
36%
📊
BRUINS
64%
▲ Edge: +12.50% (BOS)
RANGERS 52% Book Odds: -106
BRUINS 51% Book Odds: -104
Book Implied: 51.50% / 51%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
5.5
Projected
Book Total
6.0
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.0 42%
Under 6.0 58%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
NEW YORK
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
RangersNYR (+1.5) 0 BruinsBOS (-1.5)
Line aligns with book spread (+1.5)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rangers Cover

77.3%

Bruins Cover

22.7%

+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around NYR +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYR)

NYR By 1 goal

9.2%

NYR By 2-3 goals

6.1%

BOS By 1 goal

19.1%

BOS By 2-3 goals

34.1%

AI Model Projected Score
2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
3.5
BOSTON
Book Implied: 3.80
Simulated Score
2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 2.20
4
BOSTON
Book Implied: 3.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Bruins Win
64% Win Prob
B
Sim Bruins Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI Rangers (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: +1.5
D
Sim Bruins (-1.5) Win
Proj Goals: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI u6.0 Win
Proj Total: 5.5
C
Sim o6.0 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 29, 2026 NYR @ BOS 0 - 3
Jan 26, 2026 BOS @ NYR 3 - 4
Jan 10, 2026 NYR @ BOS 2 - 10
Nov 28, 2025 NYR @ BOS 6 - 2
Oct 4, 2025 NYR @ BOS 1 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Hits (L5) +57.1% more
Boston: 38.7 vs New York: 24.7
Blocked Shots (L5) +53.2% more
Boston: 18.6 vs New York: 12.1
Power Play % (L5) +47.1%
New York: 48.5% vs Boston: 1.5%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYR Score 2.0 0
BOS Score 3.5 3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 18.6 / 12.1 16.0 / 12.0
Faceoff % 52.0 / 53.2 50.0 / 50.0
Hits 38.7 / 24.7 36.0 / 37.0
Power Play % 147.0 / 4852.0 0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal 22.5 / 21.9 23.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 4.5 / 4.2 4.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +114 / -135 → -106 / -104 ↓
39%TICKETS61%
33%MONEY67%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +1.5 / -1.5
45%TICKETS55%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5 → 6 ↑
78%TICKETS22%
81%MONEY19%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
NYR
BOS
NYR
ML
62% 5-3
78% 7-2
50% 4-4
44% 4-5
ATS
62% 5-3
78% 7-2
38% 3-5
44% 4-5
TTL
62% 5-3
67% 6-3
38% 3-5
67% 6-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Brunet and DiPietro Hit NHL Firsts as Bruins Rally Past Ducks
yahoo 0 minutes ago
Rockies Eye Red Sox Lefty Patrick Sandoval as Low-Risk, High-Rew…
si 0 minutes ago
Maple Leafs' John Tavares Sidelined Week-to-Week, Will Miss Isla…
si 0 minutes ago
Lindholm's Third-Period Heroics Lift Bruins to Fourth Straight W…
headtopics 11 hours, 16 minutes ago
David Pastrnak Surpasses Brad Marchand for Fourth on Bruins' All…
si 16 hours, 54 minutes ago