ST. LOUIS
CARDINALSSTL
77-85 | Road
4
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
103-59 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Andre Pallante
#53 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Misiorowski
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andre Pallante | 12-8 | 3.61 | 1.24 | 157.0 | 106 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 15-5 | 1.86 | 0.80 | 169.1 | 247 |
12-8
W-L
15-5
3.61
ERA
Ldr 1.86
1.24
WHIP
Ldr 0.80
157.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 169.1
106
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 247
AI Model Win Probability
CARDINALS
39%
BREWERS
61%
▲ Edge: +3% (STL)
CARDINALS
36%
Book Odds: +178
BREWERS
69%
Book Odds: -218
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 7.0
70%
Under 7.0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
ST. LOUIS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (St. Louis)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around STL +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (STL)
STL By 1-2 runs
15.3%
STL By 3-4 runs
9.5%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.2%
AI Model Projected Score
St. Louis
3.8
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2.80
Milwaukee
5.2
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
St. Louis
4
ST. LOUIS
Book Implied: 2.80
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brewers
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cardinals (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.4
D
Sim
Cardinals (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 6
Sep 26, 2026
STL @ MIL
2 - 3
Sep 25, 2026
STL @ MIL
4 - 8
Jul 9, 2026
MIL @ STL
8 - 4
Jul 8, 2026
MIL @ STL
1 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
St. Louis
STL
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.44
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.239
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.313
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.378
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.691
OPS
▲
.743
167
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+162.0% more
Milwaukee: 4.5
vs
St. Louis: 1.7
Hits (L5)
+71.4% more
Milwaukee: 8.9
vs
St. Louis: 5.2
Total Bases (L5)
+41.2% more
Milwaukee: 13.5
vs
St. Louis: 9.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+15.8% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
St. Louis: 4.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
STL Score
3.8
4
MIL Score
5.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 1.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.9 / 5.2
10.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.8 / 1.3
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
10.1 / 12.8
6.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.5 / 9.6
13.0 / 9.0
Walks
4.5 / 1.7
1.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +157 / -192
→
+178 / -218
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
STL
77-85-0
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
STL
Advantage
(53.7%)
Margin: -0.2
ATS +/-:
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
STL
74-80-8
O: 48.1% / U: 51.9%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
STL
MIL
STL
ML
62%
101-61
53%
85-74
52%
84-78
52%
84-77
ATS
58%
94-68
56%
89-70
48%
78-84
53%
85-76
TTL
40%
62-92-8
46%
68-81-10
50%
77-77-8
50%
76-75-10
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