NEW JERSEY
DEVILSNJ
2-0-1 | Road
3
NEW YORK
RANGERSNYR
1-2-0 | Home
4
AI Model Win Probability
DEVILS
54%
RANGERS
46%
▲ Edge: +9.60% (NJ)
DEVILS
45%
Book Odds: +124
RANGERS
60%
Book Odds: -148
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 5.5
67%
Under 5.5
33%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
NEW JERSEY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (New Jersey)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around NJ -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NJ)
NJ By 1 goal
19.1%
NJ By 2-3 goals
34.1%
NYR By 1 goal
9.2%
NYR By 2-3 goals
6.1%
AI Model Projected Score
New Jersey
4
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 2
New York
2.5
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
New Jersey
2
NEW JERSEY
Book Implied: 2
New York
4
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Devils
Loss
54% Win Prob
C
Sim
Rangers
Win
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Devils (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.5
B
Sim
Rangers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
NJ @ NYR
3 - 4
Sep 21, 2026
NYR @ NJ
2 - 3
Mar 31, 2026
NJ @ NYR
1 - 4
Mar 18, 2026
NJ @ NYR
6 - 3
Mar 7, 2026
NYR @ NJ
3 - 6
Key Model Drivers
Shots on Goal (L5)
+26.7% more
New Jersey: 25.0
vs
New York: 18.4
Faceoff % (L5)
+4.4%
New Jersey: 60.5%
vs
New York: 56.1%
Hits (L5)
+42.1% more
New York: 27.3
vs
New Jersey: 19.2
Power Play % (L5)
+15.0%
New York: 15.0%
vs
New Jersey: 0.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NJ Score
4.0
3
NYR Score
2.5
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
13.7 / 12.0
7.0 / 15.0
Faceoff %
56.1 / 60.5
57.7 / 42.3
Hits
27.3 / 19.2
28.0 / 14.0
Power Play %
0.2 / 0.0
0.0 / 50.0
Shots on Goal
18.4 / 25.0
23.0 / 23.0
Takeaways
4.7 / 4.4
2.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +124 / -148
→
+124 / -148
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYR
NJ
NYR
NJ
ML
55%
47-38
43%
37-50
45%
38-47
51%
44-43
ATS
52%
44-41
63%
55-32
45%
38-47
51%
44-43
TTL
53%
43-38-4
55%
47-39-1
99%
84-1
98%
85-2
Contextual Game News
Scott Morrow Making Strong Case for Rangers Roster Spot with Con…
Canucks' Filip Chytil Exits Preseason Game After Collision with …
Penguins' Andrei Kuzmenko Returns to Russia After Father's Fatal…
Dylan Larkin Nearing Return for Red Wings After Upper-Body Injur…
Buffalo Sabres' Defense Dealt Double Injury Blow Before Season O…