PHILADELPHIA
FLYERSPHI
0-2-0 | Road
1
BOSTON
BRUINSBOS
2-0-0 | Home
5
AI Model Win Probability
FLYERS
38%
BRUINS
62%
▲ Edge: +5% (PHI)
FLYERS
33%
Book Odds: +205
BRUINS
71%
Book Odds: -250
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 5.5
60%
Under 5.5
40%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
BOSTON
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Boston)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around BOS -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (BOS)
PHI By 1 goal
8.6%
PHI By 2-3 goals
5.5%
BOS By 1 goal
18.9%
BOS By 2-3 goals
34.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Philadelphia
2.2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Boston
3.8
BOSTON
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Philadelphia
2
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 2
Boston
3
BOSTON
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Bruins
Win
62% Win Prob
C
Sim
Bruins
Win
69% Win Prob
D
Puck Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Bruins (-1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: -1.6
B
Sim
Flyers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o5.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim
u5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 5.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 24, 2026
BOS @ PHI
0 - 2
Sep 22, 2026
PHI @ BOS
1 - 5
Apr 5, 2026
BOS @ PHI
1 - 2
Jan 29, 2026
PHI @ BOS
3 - 6
Sep 29, 2025
PHI @ BOS
3 - 2
Key Model Drivers
Blocked Shots (L5)
+1700.0% more
Boston: 17.0
vs
Philadelphia: 0.0
Faceoff % (L5)
+52.0%
Boston: 52.0%
vs
Philadelphia: 0.0%
Shots on Goal (L5)
+50.0% more
Boston: 30.0
vs
Philadelphia: 20.0
Takeaways (L5)
+27.2% more
Boston: 4.0
vs
Philadelphia: 3.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
PHI Score
2.2
1
BOS Score
3.8
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
17.0 / 0.0
10.0 / 22.0
Faceoff %
52.0 / 0.0
61.7 / 38.3
Hits
33.5 / 27.5
22.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
16.7 / 33.3
50.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
30.0 / 20.0
25.0 / 21.0
Takeaways
4.0 / 3.1
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +205 / -250
→
+205 / -250
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BOS
PHI
BOS
PHI
ML
51%
46-44
47%
45-50
59%
53-37
47%
45-50
ATS
71%
64-26
59%
56-39
57%
51-39
45%
43-52
TTL
57%
50-37-3
52%
47-43-5
97%
87-3
97%
92-3
Contextual Game News
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