DETROIT
RED WINGSDET
0-0-0 | Road
0
COLUMBUS
BLUE JACKETSCBJ
0-0-0 | Home
1
AI Model Win Probability
RED WINGS
42%
BLUE JACKETS
58%
▲ Edge: +3.10% (CBJ)
RED WINGS
50%
Book Odds: +100
BLUE JACKETS
55%
Book Odds: -120
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.5
Projected
Book Total
5.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.0 (Over)
Over 5.5
66%
Under 5.5
34%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+6+4+20-2-4-6
Distribution centered around DET +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
DET By 1 goal
9.2%
DET By 2-3 goals
6.1%
CBJ By 1 goal
19.1%
CBJ By 2-3 goals
34.1%
AI Model Projected Score
Detroit
2.5
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2
Columbus
4
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 2
Columbus
5
COLUMBUS
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jackets
Win
58% Win Prob
C
Sim
Blue Jackets
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Red Wings (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Goals: +1.5
C
Sim
Red Wings (+1.5)
Win
Proj Goals: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 6.5
B
Sim
o5.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 21, 2026
DET @ CBJ
0 - 1
Apr 7, 2026
CBJ @ DET
4 - 3
Dec 4, 2025
DET @ CBJ
5 - 6
Nov 22, 2025
CBJ @ DET
3 - 4
Mar 1, 2025
DET @ CBJ
3 - 5
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5)
+22.7% more
Columbus: 5.2
vs
Detroit: 4.2
Faceoff % (L5)
+14.4%
Columbus: 55.4%
vs
Detroit: 41.0%
Hits (L5)
+24.8% more
Detroit: 17.7
vs
Columbus: 13.3
Power Play % (L5)
+10.1%
Detroit: 24.3%
vs
Columbus: 14.2%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
DET Score
2.5
0
CBJ Score
4.0
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots
12.4 / 13.0
16.0 / 13.0
Faceoff %
55.4 / 41.0
43.8 / 56.3
Hits
13.3 / 17.7
30.0 / 16.0
Power Play %
1417.0 / 2431.0
0.0 / 0.0
Shots on Goal
23.9 / 25.1
25.0 / 18.0
Takeaways
5.2 / 4.2
6.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +100 / -120
→
+100 / -120
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 5.5
→
5.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CBJ
DET
CBJ
DET
ML
54%
45-39
55%
46-38
49%
41-43
45%
38-46
ATS
63%
53-31
61%
51-33
49%
41-43
45%
38-46
TTL
52%
43-39-2
41%
32-46-6
99%
83-1
99%
83-1
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