Home / NHL Projections NHL / Hurricanes @ Panthers CAR @ FLA

CAROLINA

HURRICANESCAR

0-1-0  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 7:00 PM ET
Amerant Bank Arena
View Odds Details →

FLORIDA

PANTHERSFLA

1-0-0  |  Home

6
AI Model Win Probability
HURRICANES
50%
📊
PANTHERS
50%
▲ Edge: +24.10% (CAR)
HURRICANES 26% Book Odds: +285
PANTHERS 78% Book Odds: -360
Book Implied: 26% / 78.30%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
6.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▼ Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 6.5 43%
Under 6.5 57%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.6
CAROLINA
Book Spread
+2.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.1 points (Carolina)
HurricanesCAR (+2.5) 0 PanthersFLA (-2.5)
Carolina Hurricanes (+2.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Hurricanes Cover

78.8%

Panthers Cover

21.2%

-6-4-20+2+4+6
Distribution centered around CAR -1.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CAR)

CAR By 1 goal

18.9%

CAR By 2-3 goals

34.9%

FLA By 1 goal

8.6%

FLA By 2-3 goals

5.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 2
2.2
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
4
CAROLINA
Book Implied: 2
2
FLORIDA
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Hurricanes Loss
50% Win Prob
D
Sim Hurricanes Loss
84% Win Prob
A
Puck Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Hurricanes (+2.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -1.6
A
Sim Hurricanes (+2.5) Loss
Proj Goals: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Sim u6.5 Loss
Proj Total: 6.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 22, 2026 FLA @ CAR 2 - 3
Sep 20, 2026 CAR @ FLA 3 - 6
Jan 16, 2026 FLA @ CAR 1 - 9
Dec 23, 2025 FLA @ CAR 5 - 2
Sep 29, 2025 CAR @ FLA 3 - 4
Key Model Drivers
Takeaways (L5) +54.6% more
Carolina: 7.2 vs Florida: 3.3
Hits (L5) +37.8% more
Carolina: 34.2 vs Florida: 21.3
Shots on Goal (L5) +18.8% more
Carolina: 31.3 vs Florida: 25.4
Power Play % (L5) +18.5%
Carolina: 20.5% vs Florida: 2.0%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
CAR Score 3.8 3
FLA Score 2.2 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Blocked Shots 9.1 / 10.9 10.0 / 8.0
Faceoff % 56.9 / 53.1 59.1 / 40.9
Hits 21.3 / 34.2 27.0 / 13.0
Power Play % 2.0 / 20.5 25.0 / 25.0
Shots on Goal 25.4 / 31.3 34.0 / 24.0
Takeaways 3.3 / 7.2 3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +285 / -360 → +285 / -360
9%TICKETS91%
70%MONEY30%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5 → +2.5 / -2.5 ↑
0%TICKETS100%
0%MONEY100%
Total (O/U)
Open: 6.5 → 6.5
81%TICKETS19%
87%MONEY13%
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
FLA
CAR
FLA
CAR
ML
49% 42-43
63% 65-38
53% 45-40
47% 48-55
ATS
56% 48-37
63% 65-38
54% 46-39
49% 50-53
TTL
45% 38-47
51% 52-49-2
99% 84-1
98% 101-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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