LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
93-60 | Road
8
CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
71-82 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Justin Wrobleski
#70 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Singer
#51 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Wrobleski | 11-5 | 3.78 | 1.16 | 133.1 | 111 |
| Brady Singer | 6-14 | 5.38 | 1.51 | 150.2 | 125 |
11-5
W-L
6-14
3.78 Ldr
ERA
5.38
1.16 Ldr
WHIP
1.51
133.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 150.2
111
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 125
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
60%
REDS
40%
DODGERS
63%
Book Odds: -168
REDS
42%
Book Odds: +139
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
10.0
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +1.5 (Under)
Over 10.0
37%
Under 10.0
63%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CINCINNATI
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CIN +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CIN)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
17.5%
CIN By 1-2 runs
15.0%
CIN By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 5.80
Cincinnati
3.5
CINCINNATI
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 5.80
Cincinnati
5
CINCINNATI
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Reds
Loss
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Reds (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.5
B
Sim
Reds (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u10.0
Push
Proj Total: 8.5
B
Sim
u10.0
Push
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 17, 2026
LAD @ CIN
8 - 2
Sep 16, 2026
LAD @ CIN
2 - 6
Sep 15, 2026
LAD @ CIN
4 - 0
Sep 14, 2026
LAD @ CIN
4 - 1
Sep 9, 2026
CIN @ LAD
1 - 14
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Cincinnati
CIN
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.11
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.229
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.305
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.394
.762
▲
OPS
.699
204
Home Runs
▲
213
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+16.8% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+6.3%
Los Angeles: 76.2%
vs
Cincinnati: 69.9%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+3.3%
Los Angeles: 33.8%
vs
Cincinnati: 30.5%
Slugging Pct (Season)
+3.0%
Los Angeles: 42.4%
vs
Cincinnati: 39.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.0
8
CIN Score
3.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.1 / 6.9
7.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.2 / 1.2
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
9.4 / 7.3
8.0 / 3.0
Total Bases
12.6 / 11.6
13.0 / 21.0
Walks
5.0 / 3.1
0.0 / 6.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -206 / +169
→
-168 / +139
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
10
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
CIN
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
CIN
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CIN
LAD
CIN
LAD
ML
55%
88-71
56%
92-73
49%
79-81
48%
79-87
ATS
54%
86-73
59%
98-67
50%
80-80
43%
72-94
TTL
53%
81-73-5
48%
77-82-6
54%
83-72-5
44%
70-90-6
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