SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
70-81 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
57-93 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kade Anderson
#13 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kade Anderson | 1-1 | 4.29 | 1.38 | 21.0 | 16 |
| Reid Detmers | 5-8 | 3.32 | 1.04 | 168.0 | 191 |
1-1
W-L
5-8
4.29
ERA
Ldr 3.32
1.38
WHIP
Ldr 1.04
21.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 168.0
16
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 191
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
42%
ANGELS
58%
▲ Edge: +5.50% (LAA)
MARINERS
52%
Book Odds: -110
ANGELS
52%
Book Odds: -110
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.5
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 7.5
69%
Under 7.5
31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
SEA By 1-2 runs
15.0%
SEA By 3-4 runs
9.2%
LAA By 1-2 runs
19.7%
LAA By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
5.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.50
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Angels
Win
58% Win Prob
B
Sim
Angels
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
B
Sim
Angels (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.5
A
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
LAA @ SEA
3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026
LAA @ SEA
4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026
LAA @ SEA
7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026
LAA @ SEA
6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026
SEA @ LAA
7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
162
Games Played
162
4.10
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.234
.314
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.379
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.693
▲
OPS
.679
182
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+28.1% more
Los Angeles: 8.4
vs
Seattle: 6.5
Hits (L5)
+53.0% more
Seattle: 12.5
vs
Los Angeles: 5.9
Total Bases (L5)
+42.0% more
Seattle: 21.4
vs
Los Angeles: 12.4
Walks (L5)
+40.8% more
Seattle: 4.9
vs
Los Angeles: 2.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
4.0
4
LAA Score
5.5
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.9 / 12.5
9.0 / 8.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 2.1
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
8.4 / 6.5
7.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 21.4
12.0 / 15.0
Walks
2.9 / 4.9
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +102 / -123
→
-110 / -110
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 9
→
7.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
SEA
LAA
SEA
ML
59%
96-66
50%
81-81
55%
89-73
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
97-65
60%
98-64
51%
82-80
59%
95-67
TTL
53%
83-74-5
56%
85-67-10
52%
82-75-5
53%
81-71-10
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