Home / NFL Projections NFL / Eagles @ Titans PHI @ TEN

PHILADELPHIA

EAGLESPHI

2-0  |  Road

24
FINAL
Sun, Sep 20 • 1:00 PM ET
Nissan Stadium
View Odds Details →

TENNESSEE

TITANSTEN

0-2  |  Home

20
Key Game
Braden Mann
KEY GAME

Braden Mann

#10 | Punter
@
Tommy Townsend
KEY GAME

Tommy Townsend

#3 | Punter
Player
Braden Mann None-None
Tommy Townsend None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
EAGLES
66%
📊
TITANS
34%
▲ Edge: +5.80% (TEN)
EAGLES 77% Book Odds: -325
TITANS 28% Book Odds: +260
Book Implied: 76.50% / 27.80%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
42.6
Projected
Book Total
39.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +3.1 (Over)
Over 39.5 59%
Under 39.5 41%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+7.0
TENNESSEE
Book Spread
+7
Book Line
EaglesPHI (-7) 0 TitansTEN (+7)
Line aligns with book spread (+7)
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Eagles Cover

30.9%

Titans Cover

69.1%

-42-28-140+14+28+42
Distribution centered around TEN +7.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEN)

PHI By 1-6 points

16.5%

PHI By 7-13 points

19.3%

TEN By 1-6 points

12.9%

TEN By 7-13 points

9.6%

AI Model Projected Score
24.8
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 23.20
17.8
TENNESSEE
Book Implied: 16.20
Simulated Score
23
PHILADELPHIA
Book Implied: 23.20
18
TENNESSEE
Book Implied: 16.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Eagles Win
66% Win Prob
C
Sim Eagles Win
69% Win Prob
C
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Titans (-7) Loss
Proj Spread: +7.0
D
Sim Titans (+7) Win
Proj Spread: +5.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI o39.5 Win
Proj Total: 42.6
A
Sim o39.5 Win
Proj Total: 41.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 20, 2026 PHI @ TEN 24 - 20
Dec 4, 2022 TEN @ PHI 10 - 35
Sep 30, 2018 PHI @ TEN 23 - 26
Nov 23, 2014 TEN @ PHI 24 - 43
Oct 24, 2010 PHI @ TEN 19 - 37
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +29.1% more
Philadelphia: 132.1 vs Tennessee: 93.7
Total Yards (L5) +22.4% more
Philadelphia: 314.2 vs Tennessee: 243.8
Turnovers (L5) +21.0% more
Philadelphia: 0.9 vs Tennessee: 0.7
First Downs (L5) +18.7% more
Philadelphia: 16.4 vs Tennessee: 13.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PHI Score 24.8 24
TEN Score 17.8 20
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 13.3 / 16.4 14.0 / 23.0
Net Passing Yards 150.2 / 182.1 169.0 / 252.0
Rushing Yards 93.7 / 132.1 122.0 / 89.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.46 / 0.61
Time of Possession 0.4 / 0.5 0.39 / 0.61
Total Yards 243.8 / 314.2 291.0 / 341.0
Turnovers 0.7 / 0.9 0.0 / 2.0
Yards Per Play 4.7 / 5.4 5.7 / 4.7
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -218 / +180 → -325 / +260 ↓
98%TICKETS2%
85%MONEY15%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -4.5 / +4.5 → -7 / +7 ↓
94%TICKETS6%
92%MONEY8%
Total (O/U)
Open: 42.5 → 39.5 ↓
29%TICKETS71%
27%MONEY73%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PHI Advantage
2-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: -3.5
TEN
0-2-0 (0.0%)
Margin: -8.5 ATS +/-: -5.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PHI
0-2-0 (0.0%)
Margin: 3.0 ATS +/-: -3.5
TEN Advantage
1-1-0 (50.0%)
Margin: -8.5 ATS +/-: -5.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PHI
2-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +3.3
TEN
1-1-0
O: 50.0% / U: 50.0% Total +/-: -1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TEN
PHI
TEN
PHI
ML
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
ATS
0% 0-2
0% 0-2
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
TTL
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
50% 1-1
100% 2-0
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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