Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Kent State @ Ohio State KENT @ OSU

KENT STATE

KENT STATEKENT

1-2  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 19 • 12:00 PM ET
Ohio Stadium
View Odds Details →

OHIO STATE

OHIO STATEOSU

2-1  |  Home

59
Key Game
Kolten Ford
KEY GAME

Kolten Ford

#42 | Punter
@
Joe McGuire
KEY GAME

Joe McGuire

#42 | Punter
Player
Kolten Ford None-None
Joe McGuire None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
KENT STATE
3%
📊
OHIO STATE
97%
KENT STATE --
OHIO STATE --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
62.5
Projected
Book Total
58.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +4.0 (Over)
Over 58.5 58%
Under 58.5 42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+35.5
KENT STATE
Book Spread
+52.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +17.0 points (Kent State)
Kent StateKENT (+52.5) 0 Ohio StateOSU (-52.5)
Kent State Golden Flashes (+52.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Kent State Cover

99.4%

Ohio State Cover

0.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around KENT +35.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KENT)

KENT By 1-6 points

0.4%

KENT By 7-13 points

0.1%

OSU By 1-6 points

1.3%

OSU By 7-13 points

3.9%

AI Model Projected Score
13.5
KENT STATE
Book Implied: 3
49
OHIO STATE
Book Implied: 55.50
Simulated Score
18
KENT STATE
Book Implied: 3
33
OHIO STATE
Book Implied: 55.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Ohio State Win
97% Win Prob
A
Sim Ohio State Win
93% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Kent State (+52.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +35.5
A
Sim Kent State (+52.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +15.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o58.5 Win
Proj Total: 62.5
C
Sim u58.5 Loss
Proj Total: 51.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 19, 2026 KENT @ OSU 3 - 59
Sep 13, 2014 KENT @ OSU 0 - 66
Key Model Drivers
First Downs (L5) +42.2% more
Ohio State: 23.8 vs Kent State: 16.7
Total Yards (L5) +36.5% more
Ohio State: 467.0 vs Kent State: 342.0
Turnovers (L5) +38.5% more
Kent State: 1.8 vs Ohio State: 1.1
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
KENT Score 13.5 3
OSU Score 49.0 59
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 23.8 / 16.7 25.0 / 6.0
Rushing Yards 156.2 / 146.3 145.0 / 71.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.4 0.12 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.5 0.51 / 0.49
Total Yards 467.0 / 342.0 527.0 / 134.0
Turnovers 1.1 / 1.8 2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +52.5 / -52.5 → +52.5 / -52.5
42%TICKETS58%
27%MONEY73%
Total (O/U)
Open: 56.5 → 58.5 ↑
78%TICKETS22%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KENT
1-2-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -30.7 ATS +/-: -5.0
OSU Advantage
2-1-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 36.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KENT
1-2-0 (33.3%)
Margin: -30.7 ATS +/-: -5.0
OSU Advantage
3-0-0 (100.0%)
Margin: 36.0 ATS +/-: +2.8
⚖️ Over/Under
KENT
3-0-0
O: 100.0% / U: 0.0% Total +/-: +4.2
OSU
2-1-0
O: 66.7% / U: 33.3% Total +/-: +1.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
OSU
KENT
OSU
KENT
ML
67% 2-1
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
100% 3-0
ATS
33% 1-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-3
33% 1-2
TTL
100% 3-0
67% 2-1
0% 0-3
0% 0-3
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Texas A&M Faces Defining Test at LSU After Kentucky Setback
si 0 minutes ago
Texas A&M's Remaining Schedule: Ranking the Nine Opponents from …
aggieswire 2 days, 8 hours ago
Texas A&M Tumbles 14 Spots in ESPN Power Rankings After Stunning…
aggieswire 2 days, 9 hours ago
Ole Miss Reaps Immediate Recruiting Reward After LSU Victory
hottytoddy 3 days, 21 hours ago
Ole Miss Poised to Leapfrog LSU in AP Top 25 After 32-24 Victory
mysa 4 days, 9 hours ago