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PRAIRIE VIEW A&M

PRAIRIE VIEWPV

1-2  |  Road

3
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 8:08 PM ET
McLane Stadium
View Odds Details →

BAYLOR

BAYLORBAY

1-1  |  Home

44
Key Game
Marley Minerds
KEY GAME

Marley Minerds

#43 | Place kicker
@
Rhett Armstrong
KEY GAME

Rhett Armstrong

#98 | Place kicker
Player
Marley Minerds None-None
Rhett Armstrong None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
PRAIRIE VIEW
4%
📊
BAYLOR
96%
PRAIRIE VIEW --
BAYLOR --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
60.6
Projected
Book Total
55.5
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +5.1 (Over)
Over 55.5 63%
Under 55.5 37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+33.0
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Spread
+37.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +4.5 points (Prairie View A&M)
Prairie ViewPV (+37.5) 0 BaylorBAY (-37.5)
Prairie View A&M Panthers (+37.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Prairie View Cover

99.1%

Baylor Cover

0.9%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around PV +33.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (PV)

PV By 1-6 points

0.6%

PV By 7-13 points

0.2%

BAY By 1-6 points

1.9%

BAY By 7-13 points

5.3%

AI Model Projected Score
13.8
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Implied: 9
46.8
BAYLOR
Book Implied: 46.50
Simulated Score
13
PRAIRIE VIEW A&M
Book Implied: 9
43
BAYLOR
Book Implied: 46.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Baylor Win
96% Win Prob
A
Sim Baylor Win
100% Win Prob
A
Point Spread (ATS)
Agreement
AI Prairie View (+37.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +33.0
C
Sim Prairie View (+37.5) Loss
Proj Spread: +30.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI o55.5 Loss
Proj Total: 60.6
B
Sim o55.5 Loss
Proj Total: 56.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 PV @ BAY 3 - 44
Key Model Drivers
Turnovers (L5) +150.0% more
Baylor: 2.1 vs Prairie View A&M: 0.6
Total Yards (L5) +96.7% more
Baylor: 425.8 vs Prairie View A&M: 216.5
First Downs (L5) +79.9% more
Baylor: 24.9 vs Prairie View A&M: 13.9
Rushing Yards (L5) +55.9% more
Baylor: 126.9 vs Prairie View A&M: 81.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
PV Score 13.8 3
BAY Score 46.8 44
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.9 / 13.9 32.0 / 7.0
Rushing Yards 126.9 / 81.4 232.0 / 36.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.3 / 0.4 0.57 / 0.25
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.57 / 0.43
Total Yards 425.8 / 216.5 552.0 / 110.0
Turnovers 2.1 / 0.6 3.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
0%TICKETS100%
0%MONEY100%
Spread (ATS)
Open: +39.5 / -39.5 → +37.5 / -37.5 ↓
88%TICKETS12%
78%MONEY22%
Total (O/U)
Open: 56.5 → 55.5 ↓
14%TICKETS86%
33%MONEY67%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
PV
--
BAY Advantage
2-1-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +1.8
🎯 ATS (Spread)
PV
--
BAY Advantage
2-1-0 (66.7%)
Margin: 19.0 ATS +/-: +1.8
⚖️ Over/Under
PV
--
BAY
1-2-0
O: 33.3% / U: 66.7% Total +/-: -9.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
BAY
PV
BAY
PV
ML
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
100% 3-0
100% 2-0
ATS
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
67% 2-1
0% 0-2
TTL
67% 2-1
0% 0-2
33% 1-2
0% 0-2
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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