Home / NCAAF Projections NCAAF / Towson @ South Carolina TOW @ SC

TOWSON

TOWSONTOW

0-3  |  Road

9
FINAL
Sat, Sep 12 • 7:00 PM ET
Williams-Brice Stadium
View Odds Details →

SOUTH CAROLINA

SOUTH CAROLINASC

2-0  |  Home

45
Key Game
Owen Scheihing
KEY GAME

Owen Scheihing

#34 | Place kicker
@
Mason Love
KEY GAME

Mason Love

#24 | Place kicker
Player
Owen Scheihing None-None
Mason Love None-None
None-None W-L None-None
AI Model Win Probability
TOWSON
3%
📊
SOUTH CAROLINA
97%
TOWSON --
SOUTH CAROLINA --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
62.0
Projected
Book Total
57.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +5.0 (Over)
Over 57.0 68%
Under 57.0 32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+35.0
TOWSON
Book Spread
+44.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +9.5 points (Towson)
TowsonTOW (+44.5) 0 South CarolinaSC (-44.5)
Towson Tigers (+44.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Towson Cover

99.4%

South Carolina Cover

0.6%

+42+28+140-14-28-42
Distribution centered around TOW +35.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOW)

TOW By 1-6 points

0.4%

TOW By 7-13 points

0.1%

SC By 1-6 points

1.4%

SC By 7-13 points

4.1%

AI Model Projected Score
13.5
TOWSON
Book Implied: 6.20
48.5
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Implied: 50.80
Simulated Score
17
TOWSON
Book Implied: 6.20
31
SOUTH CAROLINA
Book Implied: 50.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI South Carolina Win
97% Win Prob
A
Sim South Carolina Win
92% Win Prob
B
Point Spread (ATS)
Divergence
AI Towson (+44.5) Win
Proj Spread: +35.0
A
Sim South Carolina (-44.5) Loss
Proj Spread: -14.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI o57.0 Loss
Proj Total: 62.0
B
Sim u57.0 Win
Proj Total: 48.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 12, 2026 TOW @ SC 9 - 45
Key Model Drivers
Rushing Yards (L5) +108.2% more
South Carolina: 170.9 vs Towson: 82.1
Total Yards (L5) +70.7% more
South Carolina: 488.4 vs Towson: 286.2
First Downs (L5) +58.8% more
South Carolina: 24.0 vs Towson: 15.1
Turnovers (L5) +47.0% more
South Carolina: 1.4 vs Towson: 0.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
TOW Score 13.5 9
SC Score 48.5 45
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
First Downs 24.0 / 15.1 22.0 / 12.0
Rushing Yards 170.9 / 82.1 405.0 / 21.0
Third Down Efficiency 0.5 / 0.2 0.5 / 0.19
Time of Possession 0.5 / 0.4 0.44 / 0.56
Total Yards 488.4 / 286.2 502.0 / 203.0
Turnovers 1.4 / 0.9 2.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- / -- → -- / --
Public splits unavailable
Spread (ATS)
Open: +43.5 / -43.5 → +44.5 / -44.5 ↑
94%TICKETS6%
52%MONEY48%
Total (O/U)
Open: 56 → 57 ↑
24%TICKETS76%
49%MONEY51%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOW
--
SC Advantage
2-3-0 (40.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOW
--
SC Advantage
1-4-0 (20.0%)
Margin: 10.8 ATS +/-: -3.9
⚖️ Over/Under
TOW
--
SC
4-1-0
O: 80.0% / U: 20.0% Total +/-: +9.1
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SC
TOW
SC
TOW
ML
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
80% 4-1
67% 2-1
ATS
40% 2-3
67% 2-1
20% 1-4
33% 1-2
TTL
20% 1-4
33% 1-2
60% 3-2
67% 2-1
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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