TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
72-74 | Road
2
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
68-78 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cody Bradford
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kade Anderson
#13 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bradford | 0-4 | 4.45 | 1.58 | 30.1 | 16 |
| Kade Anderson | 0-1 | 5.40 | 1.47 | 15.0 | 11 |
0-4
W-L
0-1
4.45 Ldr
ERA
5.40
1.58
WHIP
Ldr 1.47
30.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
15.0
16 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
11
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
61%
MARINERS
39%
▲ Edge: +16.20% (TEX)
RANGERS
45%
Book Odds: +123
MARINERS
60%
Book Odds: -149
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +0.5 (Over)
Over 8.0
55%
Under 8.0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
TEXAS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around TEX -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
19.7%
TEX By 3-4 runs
17.5%
SEA By 1-2 runs
15.0%
SEA By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.20
Seattle
3.5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Texas
5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3.20
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Rangers
Loss
61% Win Prob
B
Sim
Rangers
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
B
Sim
Rangers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
C
Sim
o8.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
TEX @ SEA
3 - 4
Sep 9, 2026
TEX @ SEA
2 - 3
Sep 8, 2026
TEX @ SEA
10 - 5
Jul 27, 2026
SEA @ TEX
3 - 7
Jul 26, 2026
SEA @ TEX
6 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.242
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.713
▲
OPS
.693
183
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+75.4% more
Texas: 2.4
vs
Seattle: 0.6
Errors (L5)
+63.0% more
Texas: 1.3
vs
Seattle: 0.5
Total Bases (L5)
+33.5% more
Texas: 18.0
vs
Seattle: 12.0
Hits (L5)
+14.1% more
Texas: 9.7
vs
Seattle: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
5.0
2
SEA Score
3.5
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 1.3
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 9.7
6.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 2.4
0.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
11.3 / 6.9
4.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.0 / 18.0
9.0 / 13.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.8
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +134 / -162
→
+123 / -149
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
8
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
TEX
SEA
TEX
ML
50%
81-81
53%
86-76
52%
85-77
57%
91-70
ATS
60%
98-64
57%
92-70
59%
95-67
61%
98-63
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
78-70-14
53%
81-71-10
55%
81-66-14
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