TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
73-74 | Road
0
ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
59-88 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Braydon Fisher
#63 | Relief Pitcher@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Basso
#66 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braydon Fisher | 3-4 | 3.20 | 1.24 | 70.1 | 68 |
| Brady Basso | 1-2 | 4.32 | 1.41 | 33.1 | 24 |
3-4
W-L
1-2
3.20 Ldr
ERA
4.32
1.24 Ldr
WHIP
1.41
70.1 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
33.1
68 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
24
AI Model Win Probability
BLUE JAYS
55%
ATHLETICS
45%
▲ Edge: +2.50% (ATH)
BLUE JAYS
62%
Book Odds: -163
ATHLETICS
43%
Book Odds: +135
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
9.5
Over / Under Line
▼
Edge: +0.5 (Under)
Over 9.5
46%
Under 9.5
54%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
ATHLETICS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Athletics)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ATH +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ATH)
TOR By 1-2 runs
19.7%
TOR By 3-4 runs
17.2%
ATH By 1-2 runs
15.3%
ATH By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Toronto
5.2
TORONTO
Book Implied: 5.50
Athletics
3.8
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 4
Simulated Score
Toronto
5
TORONTO
Book Implied: 5.50
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 4
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Loss
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Athletics (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.4
D
Sim
Athletics (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Sim
u9.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
TOR @ ATH
0 - 2
Sep 8, 2026
TOR @ ATH
4 - 2
Sep 7, 2026
TOR @ ATH
5 - 6
Mar 29, 2026
ATH @ TOR
2 - 5
Mar 28, 2026
ATH @ TOR
7 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Toronto
TOR
vs
Athletics
ATH
162
Games Played
162
4.00
Runs / Game
▲
4.31
.247
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.317
.381
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.402
.692
OPS
▲
.719
152
Home Runs
▲
194
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+73.0% more
Toronto: 0.9
vs
Athletics: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+35.2% more
Toronto: 10.2
vs
Athletics: 6.6
Walks (L5)
+23.8% more
Toronto: 2.9
vs
Athletics: 2.2
Total Bases (L5)
+23.5% more
Toronto: 16.1
vs
Athletics: 12.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TOR Score
5.2
0
ATH Score
3.8
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
6.6 / 10.2
4.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.6 / 1.7
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 5.7
5.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 16.1
7.0 / 7.0
Walks
2.2 / 2.9
2.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -161 / +132
→
-163 / +135
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 9
→
9.5
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TOR
Advantage
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ATH
TOR
ATH
TOR
ML
59%
95-67
46%
74-87
54%
87-74
50%
80-80
ATS
52%
84-78
56%
90-71
50%
81-80
49%
79-81
TTL
54%
84-73-5
51%
80-76-5
42%
66-90-5
45%
70-85-5
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