CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
81-65 | Road
3
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
90-56 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
David Peterson
#19 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Misiorowski
#32 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Peterson | 7-8 | 5.39 | 1.56 | 127.0 | 113 |
| Jacob Misiorowski | 14-5 | 1.97 | 0.79 | 155.0 | 227 |
7-8
W-L
14-5
5.39
ERA
Ldr 1.97
1.56
WHIP
Ldr 0.79
127.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 155.0
113
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 227
AI Model Win Probability
CUBS
41%
BREWERS
59%
▲ Edge: +4.20% (CHC)
CUBS
37%
Book Odds: +168
BREWERS
67%
Book Odds: -205
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 7.0
65%
Under 7.0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around CHC +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
CHC By 1-2 runs
15.0%
CHC By 3-4 runs
9.2%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Chicago
3.5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.80
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
Chicago
7
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 2.80
Milwaukee
6
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Sim
Cubs
Loss
61% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.5
D
Sim
Cubs (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Push
Proj Total: 8.5
A
Sim
o7.0
Push
Proj Total: 13.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Chicago
CHC
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
2
Games Played
▲
162
0.50
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.129
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.229
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.145
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.374
OPS
▲
.743
0
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+15400.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+464.0% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5)
+48.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.5
vs
Chicago: 0.1
OPS (Season)
+36.9%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CHC Score
3.5
3
MIL Score
5.0
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.8 / 7.8
12.0 / 7.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.5
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.1 / 7.5
12.0 / 12.0
Total Bases
11.8 / 13.9
17.0 / 9.0
Walks
5.2 / 3.9
4.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +123 / -149
→
+168 / -205
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1 / -1
→
+1.5 / -1.5
↑
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
CHC
MIL
CHC
ML
62%
101-61
58%
93-68
52%
84-78
51%
82-79
ATS
58%
94-68
61%
97-63-1
48%
78-84
47%
75-85-1
TTL
40%
62-92-8
52%
81-74-6
50%
77-77-8
46%
72-83-6
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