COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
55-89 | Road
3
NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
82-62 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Gabriel Hughes
#43 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Schlittler
#31 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gabriel Hughes | 0-6 | 6.19 | 1.43 | 52.1 | 42 |
| Cam Schlittler | 12-6 | 2.04 | 0.94 | 171.2 | 210 |
0-6
W-L
12-6
6.19
ERA
Ldr 2.04
1.43
WHIP
Ldr 0.94
52.1
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 171.2
42
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 210
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
25%
YANKEES
75%
ROCKIES
27%
Book Odds: +270
YANKEES
78%
Book Odds: -345
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 7.5
65%
Under 7.5
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
NEW YORK
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (New York)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around NYY -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (NYY)
COL By 1-2 runs
13.6%
COL By 3-4 runs
7.8%
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.6%
NYY By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Colorado
3.5
COLORADO
Book Implied: 3
New York
5.5
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Colorado
4
COLORADO
Book Implied: 3
New York
5
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Yankees
Win
75% Win Prob
A
Sim
Yankees
Win
59% Win Prob
D
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Yankees (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Sim
Rockies (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 10, 2026
COL @ NYY
3 - 10
Sep 9, 2026
COL @ NYY
1 - 6
Sep 8, 2026
COL @ NYY
3 - 5
May 25, 2025
NYY @ COL
5 - 4
May 24, 2025
NYY @ COL
13 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado
COL
vs
New York
NYY
162
▲
Games Played
1
4.64
Runs / Game
▲
9.00
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲
.375
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.447
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.594
.739
OPS
▲
1.041
180
▲
Home Runs
2
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+94.0% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Colorado: 4.6
Slugging Pct (Season)
+17.7%
New York: 59.4%
vs
Colorado: 41.7%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+12.5%
New York: 44.7%
vs
Colorado: 32.2%
Batting Avg (Season)
+12.1%
New York: 37.5%
vs
Colorado: 25.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
COL Score
3.5
3
NYY Score
5.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.8 / 0.7
0.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.3 / 10.2
8.0 / 4.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 1.2
1.0 / 2.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 9.2
13.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.0 / 16.1
13.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.4 / 2.6
1.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +248 / -314
→
+270 / -345
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
7.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
NYY
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
NYY
COL
NYY
COL
ML
47%
76-85
60%
97-64
52%
85-77
55%
88-73
ATS
59%
95-66
60%
97-64
53%
86-76
52%
83-78
TTL
53%
81-73-7
60%
93-62-6
53%
82-72-7
50%
77-78-6
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