ATHLETICS
ATHLETICSATH
57-87 | Road
0
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
67-77 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Gage Jump
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Bryan Woo
#22 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gage Jump | 6-9 | 5.15 | 1.49 | 92.2 | 99 |
| Bryan Woo | 10-9 | 4.25 | 1.09 | 148.1 | 149 |
6-9
W-L
10-9
5.15
ERA
Ldr 4.25
1.49
WHIP
Ldr 1.09
92.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 148.1
99
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 149
AI Model Win Probability
ATHLETICS
35%
MARINERS
65%
ATHLETICS
36%
Book Odds: +177
MARINERS
69%
Book Odds: -217
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
7.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.0 (Over)
Over 7.0
70%
Under 7.0
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
SEATTLE
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
ATH By 1-2 runs
13.6%
ATH By 3-4 runs
7.8%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Athletics
3.5
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 2.80
Seattle
5.5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.20
Simulated Score
Athletics
4
ATHLETICS
Book Implied: 2.80
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 4.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Mariners
Win
65% Win Prob
A
Sim
Mariners
Win
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Sim
Athletics (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o7.0
Loss
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 13, 2026
SEA @ ATH
7 - 8
Sep 12, 2026
SEA @ ATH
19 - 1
Sep 11, 2026
SEA @ ATH
5 - 6
Sep 6, 2026
ATH @ SEA
0 - 2
Sep 5, 2026
ATH @ SEA
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Athletics
ATH
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.31
▲
Runs / Game
4.10
.245
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.314
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.379
.719
▲
OPS
.693
194
▲
Home Runs
182
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+34.6% more
Seattle: 3.9
vs
Athletics: 2.9
Home Runs (L5)
+77.0% more
Athletics: 2.5
vs
Seattle: 0.6
Total Bases (L5)
+39.1% more
Athletics: 20.0
vs
Seattle: 12.2
Hits (L5)
+19.7% more
Athletics: 10.6
vs
Seattle: 8.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ATH Score
3.5
0
SEA Score
5.5
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.5 / 10.6
7.0 / 1.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 2.5
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.5 / 8.7
10.0 / 13.0
Total Bases
12.2 / 20.0
7.0 / 1.0
Walks
3.9 / 2.9
2.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +207 / -257
→
+177 / -217
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
7
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ATH
64-98-0
(39.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ATH
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -1.5
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ATH
84-73-5
O: 53.5% / U: 46.5%
Total +/-: +0.8
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
ATH
SEA
ATH
ML
50%
81-81
59%
95-67
52%
85-77
54%
87-74
ATS
60%
98-64
52%
84-78
59%
95-67
50%
81-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
54%
84-73-5
53%
81-71-10
42%
66-90-5
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