Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Schlittler
#31 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | 12-6 | 2.09 | 0.97 | 163.2 | 201 |
| Reid Detmers | 4-8 | 3.54 | 1.07 | 155.0 | 174 |
12-6
W-L
4-8
2.09 Ldr
ERA
3.54
0.97 Ldr
WHIP
1.07
163.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
155.0
201 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
174
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
65%
ANGELS
35%
▲ Edge: +3.80% (NYY)
YANKEES
61%
Book Odds: -155
ANGELS
41%
Book Odds: +142
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.5 (Over)
Over 6.5
70%
Under 6.5
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.2%
LAA By 1-2 runs
15.3%
LAA By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4
Los Angeles
3.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
New York
5
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Yankees
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Yankees
Win
70% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.4
C
Sim
Yankees (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
NYY @ LAA
6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
NYY @ LAA
7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026
NYY @ LAA
1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026
LAA @ NYY
11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026
LAA @ NYY
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
1
Games Played
▲
162
9.00
▲
Runs / Game
4.04
.375
▲
Avg (AVG)
.234
.447
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.594
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
1.041
▲
OPS
.679
2
Home Runs
▲
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+92.2% more
New York: 1.0
vs
Los Angeles: 0.1
Home Runs (L5)
+88.6% more
New York: 1.9
vs
Los Angeles: 0.2
Runs per Game (Season)
+55.1% more
New York: 9.0
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+36.2%
New York: 1.0%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.2
6
LAA Score
3.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 1.0
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 10.4
4.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.2 / 1.9
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 8.5
13.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.4 / 16.7
10.0 / 13.0
Walks
4.5 / 1.4
0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -186 / +153
→
-155 / +142
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
6.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
95-71-0
(57.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: 0.9
ATS +/-:
LAA
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
79-81-6
O: 49.4% / U: 50.6%
Total +/-: +0.2
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
NYY
LAA
NYY
ML
59%
96-66
47%
76-85
55%
89-73
52%
85-77
ATS
60%
97-65
59%
95-66
51%
82-80
53%
86-76
TTL
53%
83-74-5
53%
81-73-7
52%
82-75-5
53%
82-72-7