NEW YORK
YANKEESNYY
80-60 | Road
6
LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
53-87 | Home
3
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cam Schlittler
#31 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Reid Detmers
#48 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Schlittler | 12-6 | 2.09 | 0.97 | 163.2 | 201 |
| Reid Detmers | 4-8 | 3.54 | 1.07 | 155.0 | 174 |
12-6
W-L
4-8
2.09 Ldr
ERA
3.54
0.97 Ldr
WHIP
1.07
163.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
155.0
201 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
174
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
65%
ANGELS
35%
▲ Edge: +3.80% (NYY)
YANKEES
61%
Book Odds: -155
ANGELS
41%
Book Odds: +142
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
6.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.5 (Over)
Over 6.5
70%
Under 6.5
30%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Los Angeles)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAA +1.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)
NYY By 1-2 runs
19.7%
NYY By 3-4 runs
17.2%
LAA By 1-2 runs
15.3%
LAA By 3-4 runs
9.5%
AI Model Projected Score
New York
5.2
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4
Los Angeles
3.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
Simulated Score
New York
5
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 2.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Yankees
Win
65% Win Prob
B
Sim
Yankees
Win
70% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Angels (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.4
C
Sim
Yankees (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Sim
o6.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 2, 2026
NYY @ LAA
6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026
NYY @ LAA
7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026
NYY @ LAA
1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026
LAA @ NYY
11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026
LAA @ NYY
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
New York
NYY
vs
Los Angeles
LAA
141
Games Played
141
4.52
▲
Runs / Game
4.05
.233
Avg (AVG)
.233
.311
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.308
.408
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.719
▲
OPS
.677
193
▲
Home Runs
135
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+88.6% more
New York: 1.9
vs
Los Angeles: 0.2
Errors (L5)
+85.0% more
New York: 0.9
vs
Los Angeles: 0.1
Total Bases (L5)
+34.9% more
New York: 17.5
vs
Los Angeles: 11.4
Home Runs (Season)
+30.1% more
New York: 193.0
vs
Los Angeles: 135.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
NYY Score
5.2
6
LAA Score
3.8
3
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.3 / 11.2
4.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
0.2 / 1.9
2.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
9.8 / 8.2
13.0 / 11.0
Total Bases
11.4 / 17.5
10.0 / 13.0
Walks
4.5 / 1.2
0.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -186 / +153
→
-155 / +142
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
6.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY
Advantage
80-61-0
(56.7%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAA
53-88-0
(37.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(48.9%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
LAA
Advantage
(49.7%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
61-76-4
O: 44.5% / U: 55.5%
Total +/-: +0.1
LAA
58-81-2
O: 41.7% / U: 58.3%
Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
NYY
LAA
NYY
ML
59%
83-58
44%
61-77
54%
76-65
50%
69-69
ATS
59%
83-58
58%
80-58
52%
74-67
49%
68-70
TTL
54%
74-63-4
48%
64-69-5
86%
119-20-2
86%
119-19
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