MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
87-53 | Road
9
CHICAGO
CUBSCHC
78-62 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Misiorowski
#32 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
David Peterson
#19 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Misiorowski | 14-5 | 1.73 | 0.75 | 151.0 | 222 |
| David Peterson | 7-7 | 5.11 | 1.52 | 123.1 | 109 |
14-5
W-L
7-7
1.73 Ldr
ERA
5.11
0.75 Ldr
WHIP
1.52
151.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
123.1
222 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
109
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
60%
CUBS
40%
BREWERS
61%
Book Odds: -153
CUBS
42%
Book Odds: +141
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
8.5
Over / Under Line
Over 8.5
44%
Under 8.5
56%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.5
CHICAGO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around CHC +1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (CHC)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
MIL By 3-4 runs
17.5%
CHC By 1-2 runs
15.0%
CHC By 3-4 runs
9.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 5
Chicago
3.5
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 3.50
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 5
Chicago
7
CHICAGO
Book Implied: 3.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Cubs
Loss
69% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Cubs (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +1.5
C
Sim
Cubs (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
u8.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.5
B
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 12.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 9, 2026
CHC @ MIL
6 - 8
Sep 8, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 7, 2026
CHC @ MIL
3 - 4
Sep 3, 2026
MIL @ CHC
1 - 2
Sep 2, 2026
MIL @ CHC
9 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Chicago
CHC
162
▲
Games Played
2
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
0.50
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.129
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.229
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.145
.743
▲
OPS
.374
154
▲
Home Runs
0
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (Season)
+100.0% more
Milwaukee: 154.0
vs
Chicago: 0.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+90.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Chicago: 0.5
Errors (L5)
+86.6% more
Milwaukee: 1.1
vs
Chicago: 0.2
OPS (Season)
+36.9%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Chicago: 37.4%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.0
9
CHC Score
3.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 1.1
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
11.4 / 10.5
6.0 / 14.0
Home Runs
3.2 / 1.4
1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.7 / 8.2
9.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
23.2 / 16.9
11.0 / 19.0
Walks
4.0 / 3.6
5.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +108 / -130
→
-153 / +141
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
↓
Total (O/U)
Open: 10.5
→
8.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
89-75-0
(54.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
CHC
(46.3%)
Margin: 0.8
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
CHC
91-70-3
O: 56.5% / U: 43.5%
Total +/-: +1.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
CHC
MIL
CHC
MIL
ML
58%
93-68
62%
101-61
51%
82-79
52%
84-78
ATS
61%
97-63-1
58%
94-68
47%
75-85-1
48%
78-84
TTL
52%
81-74-6
40%
62-92-8
46%
72-83-6
50%
77-77-8
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