Home / MLB Projections MLB / Yankees @ Angels NYY @ LAA

NEW YORK

YANKEESNYY

78-60  |  Road

1
FINAL
Mon, Aug 31 • 9:38 PM ET
Angel Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

53-85  |  Home

10
Probable Pitchers
Elmer Rodriguez
STARTING PITCHER

Elmer Rodriguez

#71 | Starting Pitcher
@
Walbert Urena
STARTING PITCHER

Walbert Urena

#57 | SP
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Elmer Rodriguez 0-2 4.70 1.52 23.0 16
Walbert Urena 8-9 2.94 1.29 116.1 112
0-2 W-L 8-9
4.70 ERA Ldr 2.94
1.52 WHIP Ldr 1.29
23.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 116.1
16 K (Strikeouts) Ldr 112
AI Model Win Probability
YANKEES
36%
📊
ANGELS
64%
▲ Edge: +17% (LAA)
YANKEES 55% Book Odds: -121
ANGELS 47% Book Odds: +113
Book Implied: 54.80% / 46.90%
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.1
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 (Over)
Over 8.0 53%
Under 8.0 47%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +3.0 points (Los Angeles)
YankeesNYY (-1.5) 0 AngelsLAA (+1.5)
Los Angeles Angels (+1.5) expected to cover
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Yankees Cover

35.4%

Angels Cover

64.6%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around LAA -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAA)

NYY By 1-2 runs

15.0%

NYY By 3-4 runs

9.2%

LAA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

LAA By 3-4 runs

17.5%

AI Model Projected Score
3.3
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4.80
4.8
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.20
Simulated Score
3
NEW YORK
Book Implied: 4.80
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 3.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Angels Win
64% Win Prob
A
Sim Angels Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement 👑 Top Selection
AI Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
A
Sim Angels (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI o8.0 Win
Proj Total: 8.1
C
Sim o8.0 Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 2, 2026 NYY @ LAA 6 - 3
Sep 1, 2026 NYY @ LAA 7 - 3
Aug 31, 2026 NYY @ LAA 1 - 10
Apr 16, 2026 LAA @ NYY 11 - 4
Apr 15, 2026 LAA @ NYY 4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
New York NYY
vs
Los Angeles LAA
140
Games Played
▲ 141
4.54 ▲
Runs / Game
4.05
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.311 ▲
On-Base (OBP)
.308
.409 ▲
Slugging (SLG)
.369
.720 ▲
OPS
.677
192 ▲
Home Runs
135
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5) +175.8% more
Los Angeles: 5.0 vs New York: 1.8
Home Runs (L5) +78.2% more
New York: 2.2 vs Los Angeles: 0.5
Errors (L5) +63.0% more
New York: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.2
Total Bases (L5) +50.4% more
New York: 17.3 vs Los Angeles: 8.6
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
NYY Score 3.3 1
LAA Score 4.8 10
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.2 / 0.8 0.0 / 3.0
Hits 6.0 / 9.8 12.0 / 6.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 2.2 0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.0 / 8.4 10.0 / 10.0
Total Bases 8.6 / 17.3 16.0 / 9.0
Walks 5.0 / 1.8 4.0 / 0.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -149 / +123 → -121 / +113 ↑
83%TICKETS17%
84%MONEY16%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5 → -1.5 / +1.5
76%TICKETS24%
46%MONEY54%
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5 → 8 ↓
89%TICKETS11%
82%MONEY18%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
NYY Advantage
80-61-0 (56.7%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAA
53-88-0 (37.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
NYY
(48.9%)
Margin: 0.8 ATS +/-:
LAA Advantage
(49.7%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
NYY
61-76-4
O: 44.5% / U: 55.5% Total +/-: +0.1
LAA
58-81-2
O: 41.7% / U: 58.3% Total +/-: +0.2
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAA
NYY
LAA
NYY
ML
59% 83-58
44% 61-77
54% 76-65
50% 69-69
ATS
59% 83-58
58% 80-58
52% 74-67
49% 68-70
TTL
54% 74-63-4
48% 64-69-5
86% 119-20-2
86% 119-19
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
Contextual Game News
Dodgers' Resurgence for Former Blue Jay Ends Abruptly with Elbow…
yahoo 1 hour, 50 minutes ago
Dodgers and Nationals Set for Friday Night Showdown at Chavez Ra…
si 13 hours, 48 minutes ago
From 27th-Round Afterthought to Fenway Favorite: The Unlikely Ri…
theathleticuk 1 day, 1 hour ago
Dodgers Rest Ohtani: Two-Way Star Sidelined After Painful Four-S…
theathleticuk 1 day, 13 hours ago
Mets Bolster Bullpen Depth by Claiming Sinker Specialist Cameron…
yahoo 1 day, 13 hours ago