LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
82-55 | Road
6
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
63-73 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tyler Glasnow
#31 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Framber Valdez
#59 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tyler Glasnow | 3-0 | 3.02 | 0.87 | 44.2 | 56 |
| Framber Valdez | 8-9 | 4.35 | 1.41 | 144.2 | 111 |
3-0
W-L
8-9
3.02 Ldr
ERA
4.35
0.87 Ldr
WHIP
1.41
44.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 144.2
56
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 111
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
52%
TIGERS
48%
▲ Edge: +6.50% (DET)
DODGERS
61%
Book Odds: -153
TIGERS
41%
Book Odds: +142
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.3 (Over)
Over 7.5
71%
Under 7.5
29%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.2
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.3 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET +0.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
LAD By 1-2 runs
18.7%
LAD By 3-4 runs
14.1%
DET By 1-2 runs
18.1%
DET By 3-4 runs
13.0%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.50
Detroit
4.8
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
2
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.50
Detroit
4
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Dodgers
Win
52% Win Prob
D
Sim
Tigers
Loss
68% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +0.2
B
Sim
Tigers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.8
A
Sim
u7.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
LAD @ DET
6 - 1
Aug 29, 2026
LAD @ DET
1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026
LAD @ DET
2 - 1
Mar 29, 2025
DET @ LAD
3 - 7
Mar 28, 2025
DET @ LAD
5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.762
▲
OPS
.720
204
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+61.8% more
Los Angeles: 5.0
vs
Detroit: 1.9
Strikeouts (L5)
+33.2% more
Los Angeles: 9.6
vs
Detroit: 6.4
Hits (L5)
+25.7% more
Los Angeles: 7.4
vs
Detroit: 5.5
Home Runs (Season)
+11.3% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Detroit: 181.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.0
6
DET Score
4.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.3 / 0.4
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.5 / 7.4
2.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.2 / 0.2
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
6.4 / 9.6
9.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
8.7 / 9.3
2.0 / 15.0
Walks
1.9 / 5.0
3.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -175 / +163
→
-153 / +142
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7
→
7.5
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAD
DET
LAD
ML
54%
86-73
56%
92-73
54%
87-73
48%
79-87
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
98-67
57%
91-69
43%
72-94
TTL
46%
69-81-9
48%
77-82-6
46%
69-81-10
44%
70-90-6
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