ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
73-64 | Road
7
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
55-81 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Mitch Bratt
#60 | Starting Pitcher@
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Yunior Marte
#87 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mitch Bratt | 1-2 | 4.54 | 1.56 | 39.2 | 28 |
| Yunior Marte | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | -- | -- |
1-2
W-L
0-0
4.54
ERA
Ldr 0.00
1.56
WHIP
Ldr 0.00
39.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
28 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
41%
GIANTS
59%
▲ Edge: +12.50% (SF)
DIAMONDBACKS
55%
Book Odds: -124
GIANTS
47%
Book Odds: +115
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.3
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.3 (Over)
Over 8.0
76%
Under 8.0
24%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
ARI By 1-2 runs
16.1%
ARI By 3-4 runs
10.3%
SF By 1-2 runs
19.6%
SF By 3-4 runs
16.6%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
4.6
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 4.80
San Francisco
5.7
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Implied: 3.20
Simulated Score
Arizona
7
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 4.80
San Francisco
8
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Implied: 3.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Giants
Win
59% Win Prob
B
Sim
Giants
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Giants (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
A
Sim
Giants (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.3
A
Sim
o8.0
Push
Proj Total: 15.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2026
ARI @ SF
7 - 1
Aug 28, 2026
ARI @ SF
10 - 6
Aug 27, 2026
ARI @ SF
1 - 6
Jul 1, 2026
SF @ ARI
6 - 4
Jun 30, 2026
SF @ ARI
2 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
San Francisco
SF
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.318
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
▲
OPS
.706
166
Home Runs
▲
178
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+20.8% more
San Francisco: 3.1
vs
Arizona: 2.6
Strikeouts (L5)
+19.8% more
San Francisco: 8.7
vs
Arizona: 7.2
Home Runs (Season)
+7.2% more
San Francisco: 178.0
vs
Arizona: 166.0
Hits (L5)
+10.4% more
Arizona: 8.3
vs
San Francisco: 7.4
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
4.6
7
SF Score
5.7
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.7 / 0.7
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.4 / 8.3
4.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
1.7 / 1.6
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
8.7 / 7.2
6.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
14.1 / 14.7
5.0 / 12.0
Walks
3.1 / 2.6
3.0 / 5.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -126 / +104
→
-124 / +115
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
8
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
ARI
SF
ARI
ML
49%
79-81
54%
87-74
53%
85-75
54%
86-74
ATS
62%
100-60
57%
91-70
52%
83-77
56%
89-71
TTL
55%
82-68-10
52%
80-73-8
46%
68-81-11
49%
73-77-9
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