ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
72-64 | Road
10
SAN FRANCISCO
GIANTSSF
55-80 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Kohl Drake
#58 | P@
STARTING PITCHER
Blade Tidwell
#46 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kohl Drake | 0-1 | 5.40 | 1.56 | 16.2 | 13 |
| Blade Tidwell | 0-0 | 3.58 | 1.16 | 32.2 | 27 |
0-1
W-L
0-0
5.40
ERA
Ldr 3.58
1.56
WHIP
Ldr 1.16
16.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 32.2
13
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 27
AI Model Win Probability
DIAMONDBACKS
39%
GIANTS
61%
▲ Edge: +11.90% (SF)
DIAMONDBACKS
53%
Book Odds: -112
GIANTS
49%
Book Odds: +104
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
11.2
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +3.2 (Over)
Over 8.0
77%
Under 8.0
23%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.7 points (San Francisco)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SF -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SF)
ARI By 1-2 runs
15.8%
ARI By 3-4 runs
10.0%
SF By 1-2 runs
19.7%
SF By 3-4 runs
16.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 4.80
San Francisco
6.2
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Implied: 3.20
Simulated Score
Arizona
4
ARIZONA
Book Implied: 4.80
San Francisco
5
SAN FRANCISCO
Book Implied: 3.20
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Giants
Loss
61% Win Prob
A
Sim
Giants
Loss
59% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Giants (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.2
A
Sim
Giants (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 11.2
A
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 29, 2026
ARI @ SF
7 - 1
Aug 28, 2026
ARI @ SF
10 - 6
Aug 27, 2026
ARI @ SF
1 - 6
Jul 1, 2026
SF @ ARI
6 - 4
Jun 30, 2026
SF @ ARI
2 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Arizona
ARI
vs
San Francisco
SF
162
Games Played
162
4.56
▲
Runs / Game
4.13
.246
▲
Avg (AVG)
.245
.318
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.306
.402
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.720
▲
OPS
.706
166
Home Runs
▲
178
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+61.0% more
San Francisco: 1.5
vs
Arizona: 0.9
Total Bases (L5)
+51.6% more
San Francisco: 15.2
vs
Arizona: 10.0
Errors (L5)
+43.0% more
San Francisco: 0.5
vs
Arizona: 0.1
Hits (L5)
+34.3% more
San Francisco: 8.7
vs
Arizona: 6.5
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
ARI Score
5.0
10
SF Score
6.2
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.1
1.0 / 2.0
Hits
8.7 / 6.5
5.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.9
2.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
7.5 / 6.3
11.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
15.2 / 10.0
12.0 / 24.0
Walks
2.6 / 2.8
4.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -114 / -106
→
-112 / +104
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
8
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
ARI
Advantage
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SF
65-97-0
(40.1%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
SF
(51.2%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
SF
76-73-13
O: 51.0% / U: 49.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SF
ARI
SF
ARI
ML
49%
79-81
54%
87-74
53%
85-75
54%
86-74
ATS
62%
100-60
57%
91-70
52%
83-77
56%
89-71
TTL
55%
82-68-10
52%
80-73-8
46%
68-81-11
49%
73-77-9
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Rich Rodriguez's Arizona Legacy: All-Star Team Rekindles Tucson …
Alex Cora Joins Growing List of Unavailable Managers for Seattle…
Diamondbacks Honor Virahonda and Hagaman as Top Minor Leaguers A…
Shohei Ohtani's Slump Raises Concerns for Dodgers in NLDS