TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
66-69 | Road
1
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
84-51 | Home
6
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Cody Bradford
#61 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Logan Henderson
#43 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cody Bradford | 0-2 | 3.05 | 1.40 | 20.2 | 13 |
| Logan Henderson | 8-2 | 2.60 | 0.89 | 69.1 | 79 |
0-2
W-L
8-2
3.05
ERA
Ldr 2.60
1.40
WHIP
Ldr 0.89
20.2
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 69.1
13
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 79
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
47%
BREWERS
53%
▲ Edge: +11.80% (TEX)
RANGERS
35%
Book Odds: +185
BREWERS
67%
Book Odds: -199
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.4
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.9 (Over)
Over 7.5
68%
Under 7.5
32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.4
TEXAS
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.1 points (Texas)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TEX +0.4 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TEX)
TEX By 1-2 runs
17.7%
TEX By 3-4 runs
12.4%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.0%
MIL By 3-4 runs
14.7%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.5
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3
Milwaukee
4.9
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Texas
3
TEXAS
Book Implied: 3
Milwaukee
5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Brewers
Win
53% Win Prob
C
Sim
Brewers
Win
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Rangers (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +0.4
C
Sim
Brewers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 9.4
B
Sim
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 8.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
TEX @ MIL
7 - 4
Aug 29, 2026
TEX @ MIL
3 - 5
Aug 28, 2026
TEX @ MIL
1 - 6
Sep 10, 2025
MIL @ TEX
3 - 6
Sep 9, 2025
MIL @ TEX
4 - 5
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.15
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.317
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.396
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.713
OPS
▲
.743
183
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Runs per Game (Season)
+23.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Texas: 4.2
Hits (L5)
+22.9% more
Milwaukee: 11.2
vs
Texas: 9.1
OPS (Season)
+3.0%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Texas: 71.3%
On-Base Pct (Season)
+2.4%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Texas: 31.7%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.5
1
MIL Score
4.9
6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.6 / 0.6
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
11.2 / 9.1
14.0 / 2.0
Home Runs
1.1 / 1.6
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
7.3 / 8.5
12.0 / 2.0
Total Bases
16.7 / 16.6
16.0 / 5.0
Walks
2.6 / 4.7
1.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +149 / -181
→
+185 / -199
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
TEX
MIL
TEX
ML
62%
101-61
53%
86-76
52%
84-78
57%
91-70
ATS
58%
94-68
57%
92-70
48%
78-84
61%
98-63
TTL
40%
62-92-8
53%
78-70-14
50%
77-77-8
55%
81-66-14
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