LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
81-54 | Road
2
DETROIT
TIGERSDET
62-72 | Home
1
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Tarik Skubal
#29 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Drew Anderson
#38 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal | 8-7 | 2.91 | 0.95 | 120.2 | 146 |
| Drew Anderson | 4-5 | 4.09 | 1.29 | 81.1 | 91 |
8-7
W-L
4-5
2.91 Ldr
ERA
4.09
0.95 Ldr
WHIP
1.29
120.2 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
81.1
146 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
91
AI Model Win Probability
DODGERS
56%
TIGERS
44%
▲ Edge: +6.50% (DET)
DODGERS
64%
Book Odds: -180
TIGERS
37%
Book Odds: +168
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.2
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +2.7 (Over)
Over 7.5
74%
Under 7.5
26%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.6
DETROIT
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.9 points (Detroit)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around DET +0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (DET)
LAD By 1-2 runs
19.3%
LAD By 3-4 runs
15.3%
DET By 1-2 runs
17.2%
DET By 3-4 runs
11.8%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
5.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.50
Detroit
4.8
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.50
Detroit
2
DETROIT
Book Implied: 3
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Dodgers
Win
56% Win Prob
B
Sim
Dodgers
Win
69% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Tigers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: +0.6
C
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
C
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Loss
Proj Total: 10.2
A
Sim
u7.5
Win
Proj Total: 6.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 30, 2026
LAD @ DET
6 - 1
Aug 29, 2026
LAD @ DET
1 - 2
Aug 28, 2026
LAD @ DET
2 - 1
Mar 29, 2025
DET @ LAD
3 - 7
Mar 28, 2025
DET @ LAD
5 - 8
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAD
vs
Detroit
DET
162
Games Played
162
4.94
▲
Runs / Game
4.46
.257
▲
Avg (AVG)
.241
.338
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.320
.424
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.400
.762
▲
OPS
.720
204
▲
Home Runs
181
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+39.8% more
Los Angeles: 3.0
vs
Detroit: 1.8
Strikeouts (L5)
+38.6% more
Los Angeles: 8.9
vs
Detroit: 5.5
Hits (L5)
+29.7% more
Los Angeles: 7.6
vs
Detroit: 5.3
Total Bases (L5)
+21.4% more
Los Angeles: 10.5
vs
Detroit: 8.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAD Score
5.4
2
DET Score
4.8
1
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.2 / 0.0
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
5.3 / 7.6
5.0 / 9.0
Home Runs
0.5 / 0.4
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
5.5 / 8.9
12.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
8.3 / 10.5
9.0 / 9.0
Walks
1.8 / 3.0
2.0 / 9.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -218 / +178
→
-180 / +168
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: -1.5 / +1.5
→
-1.5 / +1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 7.5
→
7.5
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
DET
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
DET
Advantage
(51.8%)
Margin: 0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
DET
70-84-8
O: 45.5% / U: 54.6%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
DET
LAD
DET
LAD
ML
54%
86-73
56%
92-73
54%
87-73
48%
79-87
ATS
64%
101-58
59%
98-67
57%
91-69
43%
72-94
TTL
46%
69-81-9
48%
77-82-6
46%
69-81-10
44%
70-90-6
Contextual Game News
Jeimer Candelario Opts for Free Agency After Brief Angels Stint
Brewers vs. Dodgers NLCS Tickets: Prices, Schedule, and How to A…
Dodgers Outlast Braves in NLDS Game 4, Inch Closer to Three-Peat
MLB Upholds Ejection of Yankees Fan Who Interfered with Anthony …
Dodgers Embrace 'Dinosaur' Label While Trolling Padres After NLD…