SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
59-67 | Road
0
MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
78-48 | Home
22
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Bryce Miller
#50 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Kyle Harrison
#52 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 4-6 | 3.39 | 0.99 | 85.0 | 84 |
| Kyle Harrison | 9-3 | 2.99 | 1.13 | 93.1 | 114 |
4-6
W-L
9-3
3.39
ERA
Ldr 2.99
0.99 Ldr
WHIP
1.13
85.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 93.1
84
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 114
AI Model Win Probability
MARINERS
33%
BREWERS
67%
▲ Edge: +5.10% (MIL)
MARINERS
39%
Book Odds: +154
BREWERS
62%
Book Odds: -165
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.0
Projected
Book Total
7.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.5 (Over)
Over 7.5
65%
Under 7.5
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-2.0
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
-1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.5 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around MIL -2.0 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
SEA By 1-2 runs
13.6%
SEA By 3-4 runs
7.8%
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
18.4%
AI Model Projected Score
Seattle
3.5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 3
Milwaukee
5.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.50
Simulated Score
Seattle
5
SEATTLE
Book Implied: 3
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 4.50
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
67% Win Prob
B
Sim
Mariners
Loss
70% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Sim
Mariners (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
B
Sim
o7.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 20, 2026
SEA @ MIL
4 - 7
Aug 19, 2026
SEA @ MIL
7 - 5
Aug 18, 2026
SEA @ MIL
0 - 22
Jul 23, 2025
MIL @ SEA
10 - 2
Jul 22, 2025
MIL @ SEA
0 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Seattle
SEA
vs
Milwaukee
MIL
162
Games Played
162
4.10
Runs / Game
▲
5.14
.233
Avg (AVG)
▲
.258
.314
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.341
.379
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.403
.693
OPS
▲
.743
182
▲
Home Runs
154
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+37.0% more
Milwaukee: 0.5
vs
Seattle: 0.1
Runs per Game (Season)
+25.4% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Seattle: 4.1
Strikeouts (L5)
+21.0% more
Milwaukee: 10.3
vs
Seattle: 8.5
OPS (Season)
+5.0%
Milwaukee: 74.3%
vs
Seattle: 69.3%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
SEA Score
3.5
0
MIL Score
5.5
22
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.1
0.0 / 4.0
Hits
7.8 / 9.6
22.0 / 5.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.3
4.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
10.3 / 8.5
6.0 / 10.0
Total Bases
11.2 / 16.4
36.0 / 7.0
Walks
4.2 / 4.3
5.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +135 / -163
→
+154 / -165
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
7.5
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
SEA
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
MIL
SEA
MIL
SEA
ML
62%
101-61
50%
81-81
52%
84-78
52%
85-77
ATS
58%
94-68
60%
98-64
48%
78-84
59%
95-67
TTL
40%
62-92-8
56%
85-67-10
50%
77-77-8
53%
81-71-10
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