MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
75-47 | Road
5
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
73-49 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
👤
STARTING PITCHER
Shane Drohan
#55 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Roki Sasaki
#11 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shane Drohan | 6-4 | 3.87 | 1.25 | 93.0 | 93 |
| Roki Sasaki | 5-5 | 4.54 | 1.28 | 105.0 | 106 |
6-4
W-L
5-5
3.87 Ldr
ERA
4.54
1.25 Ldr
WHIP
1.28
93.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 105.0
93
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 106
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
60%
DODGERS
40%
▲ Edge: +16.30% (MIL)
BREWERS
43%
Book Odds: +131
DODGERS
58%
Book Odds: -140
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.9
Projected
Book Total
8.0
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.9 (Over)
Over 8.0
68%
Under 8.0
32%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.1
MILWAUKEE
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.6 points (Milwaukee)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around MIL -1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (MIL)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.6%
LAD By 1-2 runs
16.1%
LAD By 3-4 runs
10.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.5
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 3.20
Los Angeles
4.4
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.80
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
3
MILWAUKEE
Book Implied: 3.20
Los Angeles
5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 4.80
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Dodgers
Loss
69% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Brewers (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.1
A
Sim
Dodgers (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
D
Over/Under (Total)
Divergence
AI
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 9.9
A
Sim
o8.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 16, 2026
MIL @ LAD
6 - 2
Aug 15, 2026
MIL @ LAD
4 - 1
Aug 14, 2026
MIL @ LAD
1 - 3
Aug 13, 2026
MIL @ LAD
5 - 4
May 24, 2026
LAD @ MIL
5 - 1
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.94
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.257
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.338
.403
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.743
OPS
▲
.762
154
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+51.1% more
Milwaukee: 5.7
vs
Los Angeles: 2.8
Strikeouts (L5)
+27.2% more
Milwaukee: 10.5
vs
Los Angeles: 7.6
Runs per Game (Season)
+3.9% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Los Angeles: 4.9
On-Base Pct (Season)
+0.3%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Los Angeles: 33.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.5
5
LAD Score
4.4
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.1 / 0.9
0.0 / 1.0
Hits
8.3 / 6.4
4.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.5 / 0.8
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.6 / 10.5
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
14.9 / 10.3
8.0 / 10.0
Walks
2.8 / 5.7
3.0 / 7.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +113 / -136
→
+131 / -140
↑
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8.5
→
8
↓
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
LAD
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
Advantage
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
MIL
LAD
MIL
ML
56%
92-73
62%
101-61
48%
79-87
52%
84-78
ATS
59%
98-67
58%
94-68
43%
72-94
48%
78-84
TTL
48%
77-82-6
40%
62-92-8
44%
70-90-6
50%
77-77-8
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