KANSAS CITY
ROYALSKC
49-72 | Road
4
LOS ANGELES
DODGERSLAD
72-48 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Michael Wacha
#52 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Blake Snell
#7 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Wacha | 5-8 | 3.44 | 1.15 | 144.0 | 112 |
| Blake Snell | 0-1 | 12.00 | 2.67 | 3.0 | 5 |
5-8
W-L
0-1
3.44 Ldr
ERA
12.00
1.15 Ldr
WHIP
2.67
144.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
3.0
112 Ldr
K (Strikeouts)
5
AI Model Win Probability
ROYALS
57%
DODGERS
43%
▲ Edge: +26.90% (KC)
ROYALS
30%
Book Odds: +234
DODGERS
72%
Book Odds: -261
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
9.8
Projected
Book Total
8.5
Over / Under Line
▲
Edge: +1.3 (Over)
Over 8.5
62%
Under 8.5
38%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.8
KANSAS CITY
Book Spread
+1.5
Book Line
▲ Edge: +2.3 points (Kansas City)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around KC -0.8 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (KC)
KC By 1-2 runs
19.4%
KC By 3-4 runs
15.8%
LAD By 1-2 runs
16.8%
LAD By 3-4 runs
11.2%
AI Model Projected Score
Kansas City
5.3
KANSAS CITY
Book Implied: 3.50
Los Angeles
4.5
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 5
Simulated Score
Kansas City
6
KANSAS CITY
Book Implied: 3.50
Los Angeles
3
LOS ANGELES
Book Implied: 5
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Royals
Loss
57% Win Prob
D
Sim
Royals
Loss
77% Win Prob
B
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Royals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.8
A
Sim
Royals (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -3.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
Agreement
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.8
B
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
D
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Aug 12, 2026
KC @ LAD
2 - 4
Aug 11, 2026
KC @ LAD
4 - 5
Aug 10, 2026
KC @ LAD
5 - 6
Jun 29, 2025
LAD @ KC
5 - 1
Jun 28, 2025
LAD @ KC
5 - 9
Season Statistics Comparison
Kansas City
KC
vs
Los Angeles
LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.26
Runs / Game
▲
4.94
.247
Avg (AVG)
▲
.257
.316
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.338
.402
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.424
.718
OPS
▲
.762
170
Home Runs
▲
204
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+57.6% more
Kansas City: 1.4
vs
Los Angeles: 0.6
Home Runs (Season)
+20.0% more
Los Angeles: 204.0
vs
Kansas City: 170.0
Hits (L5)
+18.5% more
Los Angeles: 8.2
vs
Kansas City: 6.9
Runs per Game (Season)
+16.0% more
Los Angeles: 4.9
vs
Kansas City: 4.3
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
KC Score
5.3
4
LAD Score
4.5
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.4 / 0.3
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 6.9
9.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
0.6 / 1.4
1.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
7.1 / 7.1
8.0 / 14.0
Total Bases
12.4 / 13.0
15.0 / 7.0
Walks
3.3 / 3.3
3.0 / 4.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: +219 / -274
→
+234 / -261
↓
Spread (ATS)
Open: +1.5 / -1.5
→
+1.5 / -1.5
Total (O/U)
Open: 8
→
8.5
↑
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
KC
69-93-0
(42.6%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
Advantage
103-63-0
(62.1%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
KC
Advantage
(47.5%)
Margin: -0.7
ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
KC
73-85-4
O: 46.2% / U: 53.8%
Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3%
Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
KC
LAD
KC
ML
56%
92-73
55%
89-72
48%
79-87
56%
90-70
ATS
59%
98-67
57%
91-70
43%
72-94
58%
93-67
TTL
48%
77-82-6
58%
90-64-7
44%
70-90-6
54%
83-70-7
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