CINCINNATI
REDSCIN
44-52 | Road
7
COLORADO
ROCKIESCOL
39-60 | Home
2
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Brady Singer
#51 | Starting Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Gabriel Hughes
#43 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 3-9 | 4.56 | 1.47 | 7.0 | 6 |
| Gabriel Hughes | 0-0 | 3.14 | 1.00 | 5.1 | 6 |
3-9
W-L
0-0
4.56
ERA
Ldr 3.14
1.47
WHIP
Ldr 1.00
7.0 Ldr
IP (Innings Pitched)
5.1
6
K (Strikeouts)
6
AI Model Win Probability
REDS
37%
ROCKIES
63%
REDS
--
ROCKIES
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
12.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
55%
Under 0
45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.5
COLORADO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.5 points (Colorado)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around COL -1.5 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (COL)
CIN By 1-2 runs
15.0%
CIN By 3-4 runs
9.2%
COL By 1-2 runs
19.7%
COL By 3-4 runs
17.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Cincinnati
5.5
CINCINNATI
Colorado
7
COLORADO
Simulated Score
Cincinnati
7
CINCINNATI
Colorado
6
COLORADO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Rockies
Loss
63% Win Prob
B
Sim
Reds
Win
61% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
👑 Top Selection
AI
Rockies (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.5
A
Sim
Reds (-1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o12.0
Loss
Proj Total: 12.5
C
Sim
o12.0
Loss
Proj Total: 13.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 19, 2026
CIN @ COL
9 - 6
Jul 18, 2026
CIN @ COL
3 - 10
Jul 17, 2026
CIN @ COL
7 - 2
Apr 30, 2026
COL @ CIN
4 - 6
Apr 29, 2026
COL @ CIN
13 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Cincinnati
CIN
vs
Colorado
COL
162
Games Played
162
4.11
Runs / Game
▲
4.64
.229
Avg (AVG)
▲
.254
.305
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.322
.394
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.417
.699
OPS
▲
.739
213
▲
Home Runs
180
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5)
+76.0% more
Colorado: 0.9
vs
Cincinnati: 0.1
Walks (L5)
+46.2% more
Colorado: 3.5
vs
Cincinnati: 2.4
Runs per Game (Season)
+12.9% more
Colorado: 4.6
vs
Cincinnati: 4.1
OPS (Season)
+4.0%
Colorado: 73.9%
vs
Cincinnati: 69.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
CIN Score
5.5
7
COL Score
7.0
2
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.9 / 0.1
1.0 / 1.0
Hits
6.2 / 9.3
6.0 / 11.0
Home Runs
0.9 / 1.7
1.0 / 4.0
Strikeouts
7.4 / 8.5
8.0 / 9.0
Total Bases
10.2 / 15.6
10.0 / 25.0
Walks
3.5 / 2.4
0.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
CIN
Advantage
75-87-0
(46.3%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
COL
58-104-0
(35.8%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
CIN
(50.6%)
Margin: -1.0
ATS +/-:
COL
Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
CIN
84-74-4
O: 53.2% / U: 46.8%
Total +/-: +0.5
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0%
Total +/-: +0.6
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
COL
CIN
COL
CIN
ML
60%
97-64
55%
88-71
55%
88-73
49%
79-81
ATS
60%
97-64
54%
86-73
52%
83-78
50%
80-80
TTL
60%
93-62-6
53%
81-73-5
50%
77-78-6
54%
83-72-5
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