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COLORADO

ROCKIESCOL

37-55  |  Road

7
FINAL
Mon, Jul 6 • 10:10 PM ET
Dodger Stadium
View Odds Details →

LOS ANGELES

DODGERSLAD

60-32  |  Home

8
Probable Pitchers
Jimmy Herget
STARTING PITCHER

Jimmy Herget

#44 | Relief Pitcher
@
Edgardo Henriquez
STARTING PITCHER

Edgardo Henriquez

#60 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Jimmy Herget None-None 3.52 -- 1.0 --
Edgardo Henriquez None-None 2.45 -- 2.0 --
None-None W-L None-None
3.52 ERA Ldr 2.45
-- WHIP --
1.0 IP (Innings Pitched) Ldr 2.0
-- K (Strikeouts) --
AI Model Win Probability
ROCKIES
55%
📊
DODGERS
45%
ROCKIES --
DODGERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.6
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 55%
Under 0 45%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+0.6
LOS ANGELES
Book Spread
--
Book Line
RockiesCOL (-3.5) 0 DodgersLAD (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Rockies Cover

44.0%

Dodgers Cover

56.0%

-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around LAD +0.6 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (LAD)

COL By 1-2 runs

19.3%

COL By 3-4 runs

15.3%

LAD By 1-2 runs

17.2%

LAD By 3-4 runs

11.8%

AI Model Projected Score
5.6
COLORADO
5
LOS ANGELES
Simulated Score
7
COLORADO
5
LOS ANGELES
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Rockies Loss
55% Win Prob
D
Sim Rockies Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence 👑 Top Selection
AI Dodgers (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: +0.6
A
Sim Rockies (-1.5) Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI o10.0 Win
Proj Total: 10.6
C
Sim o10.0 Win
Proj Total: 12.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Aug 19, 2026 LAD @ COL 6 - 4
Aug 18, 2026 LAD @ COL 7 - 6
Aug 17, 2026 LAD @ COL 11 - 5
Jul 8, 2026 COL @ LAD 3 - 4
Jul 7, 2026 COL @ LAD 4 - 3
Season Statistics Comparison
Colorado COL
vs
Los Angeles LAD
162
Games Played
162
4.64
Runs / Game
▲ 4.94
.254
Avg (AVG)
▲ .257
.322
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .338
.417
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .424
.739
OPS
▲ .762
180
Home Runs
▲ 204
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +75.0% more
Colorado: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.0
Home Runs (L5) +49.7% more
Colorado: 1.6 vs Los Angeles: 0.8
Total Bases (L5) +43.8% more
Colorado: 18.8 vs Los Angeles: 10.5
Hits (L5) +36.5% more
Colorado: 10.8 vs Los Angeles: 6.9
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
COL Score 5.6 7
LAD Score 5.0 8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.0 / 0.8 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 6.9 / 10.8 13.0 / 9.0
Home Runs 0.8 / 1.6 1.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 10.5 / 8.9 5.0 / 7.0
Total Bases 10.5 / 18.8 18.0 / 15.0
Walks 3.9 / 3.2 2.0 / 8.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
4%TICKETS96%
4%MONEY96%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
5%TICKETS95%
3%MONEY97%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
96%TICKETS4%
97%MONEY3%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
COL
58-104-0 (35.8%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD Advantage
103-63-0 (62.1%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
COL Advantage
(51.2%)
Margin: -1.2 ATS +/-:
LAD
(43.4%)
Margin: 1.2 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
COL
77-80-5
O: 49.0% / U: 51.0% Total +/-: +0.6
LAD
72-89-5
O: 44.7% / U: 55.3% Total +/-: 0.0
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
LAD
COL
LAD
COL
ML
56% 92-73
60% 97-64
48% 79-87
55% 88-73
ATS
59% 98-67
60% 97-64
43% 72-94
52% 83-78
TTL
48% 77-82-6
60% 93-62-6
44% 70-90-6
50% 77-78-6
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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