MILWAUKEE
BREWERSMIL
50-31 | Road
7
ARIZONA
DIAMONDBACKSARI
41-42 | Home
4
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Grant Anderson
#56 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Jose Cabrera
#53 | Starting Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Grant Anderson | None-None | 3.35 | -- | 2.0 | 1 |
| Jose Cabrera | 0-0 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 5.0 | 3 |
None-None
W-L
0-0
3.35
ERA
Ldr 0.00
--
WHIP
0.60
2.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
Ldr 5.0
1
K (Strikeouts)
Ldr 3
AI Model Win Probability
BREWERS
60%
DIAMONDBACKS
40%
BREWERS
--
DIAMONDBACKS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
10.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
69%
Under 0
31%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
+1.1
ARIZONA
Book Spread
--
Book Line
Spread Distribution
AI Model
-12-8-40+4+8+12
Distribution centered around ARI +1.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (ARI)
MIL By 1-2 runs
19.6%
MIL By 3-4 runs
16.6%
ARI By 1-2 runs
16.1%
ARI By 3-4 runs
10.3%
AI Model Projected Score
Milwaukee
5.9
MILWAUKEE
Arizona
4.8
ARIZONA
Simulated Score
Milwaukee
4
MILWAUKEE
Arizona
5
ARIZONA
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Brewers
Win
60% Win Prob
C
Sim
Diamondbacks
Loss
59% Win Prob
C
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI
Diamondbacks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: +1.1
D
Sim
Diamondbacks (+1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -1.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.7
A
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 9.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Jul 5, 2026
MIL @ ARI
3 - 2
Jul 4, 2026
MIL @ ARI
3 - 4
Jul 3, 2026
MIL @ ARI
7 - 4
Apr 30, 2026
ARI @ MIL
1 - 13
Apr 29, 2026
ARI @ MIL
6 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Milwaukee
MIL
vs
Arizona
ARI
162
Games Played
162
5.14
▲
Runs / Game
4.56
.258
▲
Avg (AVG)
.246
.341
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.318
.403
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.402
.743
▲
OPS
.720
154
Home Runs
▲
166
Key Model Drivers
Strikeouts (L5)
+58.2% more
Milwaukee: 11.1
vs
Arizona: 4.6
Walks (L5)
+34.7% more
Milwaukee: 2.7
vs
Arizona: 1.8
Runs per Game (Season)
+11.3% more
Milwaukee: 5.1
vs
Arizona: 4.6
On-Base Pct (Season)
+2.3%
Milwaukee: 34.1%
vs
Arizona: 31.8%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
MIL Score
5.9
7
ARI Score
4.8
4
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.6
3.0 / 1.0
Hits
7.5 / 7.6
9.0 / 12.0
Home Runs
1.0 / 1.1
0.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts
4.6 / 11.1
10.0 / 7.0
Total Bases
12.3 / 13.2
10.0 / 16.0
Walks
1.8 / 2.7
5.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
MIL
Advantage
106-60-0
(63.9%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
ARI
86-76-0
(53.1%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
MIL
(52.4%)
Margin: 1.3
ATS +/-:
ARI
Advantage
(52.5%)
Margin: 0.1
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
MIL
73-88-5
O: 45.3% / U: 54.7%
Total +/-: +0.8
ARI
71-85-6
O: 45.5% / U: 54.5%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
ARI
MIL
ARI
MIL
ML
54%
87-74
62%
101-61
54%
86-74
52%
84-78
ATS
57%
91-70
58%
94-68
56%
89-71
48%
78-84
TTL
52%
80-73-8
40%
62-92-8
49%
73-77-9
50%
77-77-8
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