LOS ANGELES
ANGELSLAA
62-100 | Road
3
SEATTLE
MARINERSSEA
76-86 | Home
8
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Josh Lowe
#3 | Left Field@
STARTING PITCHER
Andres Munoz
#75 | Relief Pitcher| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Lowe | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
| Andres Munoz | None-None | 4.75 | -- | 1.0 | 1 |
None-None
W-L
None-None
--
ERA
4.75
--
WHIP
--
--
IP (Innings Pitched)
1.0
--
K (Strikeouts)
1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
42%
MARINERS
58%
ANGELS
--
MARINERS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.5
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
65%
Under 0
35%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.7
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.7 points (Seattle)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -0.7 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)
LAA By 1-2 runs
17.0%
LAA By 3-4 runs
11.5%
SEA By 1-2 runs
19.4%
SEA By 3-4 runs
15.5%
AI Model Projected Score
Los Angeles
3.9
LOS ANGELES
Seattle
4.6
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
Los Angeles
6
LOS ANGELES
Seattle
4
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Divergence
AI
Mariners
Win
58% Win Prob
C
Sim
Angels
Loss
70% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Divergence
AI
Mariners (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.7
C
Sim
Angels (-1.5)
Loss
Proj Runs: -2.0
A
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
👑 Top Selection
AI
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 8.5
B
Sim
o7.0
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
A
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 27, 2026
LAA @ SEA
3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026
LAA @ SEA
4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026
LAA @ SEA
7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026
LAA @ SEA
6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026
SEA @ LAA
7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles
LAA
vs
Seattle
SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲
4.10
.234
▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲
.314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲
.379
.679
OPS
▲
.693
154
Home Runs
▲
182
Key Model Drivers
Home Runs (L5)
+43.0% more
Seattle: 1.4
vs
Los Angeles: 0.9
Home Runs (Season)
+18.2% more
Seattle: 182.0
vs
Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season)
+1.5% more
Seattle: 4.1
vs
Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season)
+1.4%
Seattle: 69.3%
vs
Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
LAA Score
3.9
3
SEA Score
4.6
8
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
0.5 / 0.6
1.0 / 0.0
Hits
7.9 / 8.3
13.0 / 6.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 0.9
0.0 / 0.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 9.0
6.0 / 16.0
Total Bases
12.6 / 13.1
14.0 / 6.0
Walks
2.5 / 2.8
3.0 / 3.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0
(38.3%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
Advantage
76-86-0
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA
Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6
ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2%
Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50%
81-81
59%
96-66
52%
85-77
55%
89-73
ATS
60%
98-64
60%
97-65
59%
95-67
51%
82-80
TTL
56%
85-67-10
53%
83-74-5
53%
81-71-10
52%
82-75-5
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