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LOS ANGELES

ANGELSLAA

36-49  |  Road

2
FINAL
Mon, Jun 29 • 9:40 PM ET
T-Mobile Park
View Odds Details →

SEATTLE

MARINERSSEA

42-43  |  Home

6
Probable Pitchers
Ryan Johnson
STARTING PITCHER

Ryan Johnson

#32 | Starting Pitcher
@
Jose Ferrer
STARTING PITCHER

Jose Ferrer

#45 | Relief Pitcher
Player W-L ERA WHIP IP K
Ryan Johnson 1-2 7.40 1.71 5.0 3
Jose Ferrer None-None 2.50 -- 1.0 1
1-2 W-L None-None
7.40 ERA Ldr 2.50
1.71 WHIP --
5.0 Ldr IP (Innings Pitched) 1.0
3 Ldr K (Strikeouts) 1
AI Model Win Probability
ANGELS
39%
📊
MARINERS
61%
ANGELS --
MARINERS --
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.8
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0 63%
Under 0 37%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-1.2
SEATTLE
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +1.2 points (Seattle)
AngelsLAA (-3.5) 0 MarinersSEA (+3.5)
Model Expected Spread
Spread Distribution
AI Model

Angels Cover

38.2%

Mariners Cover

61.8%

+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around SEA -1.2 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (SEA)

LAA By 1-2 runs

15.8%

LAA By 3-4 runs

10.0%

SEA By 1-2 runs

19.7%

SEA By 3-4 runs

16.8%

AI Model Projected Score
3.8
LOS ANGELES
5
SEATTLE
Simulated Score
3
LOS ANGELES
5
SEATTLE
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI Mariners Win
61% Win Prob
C
Sim Mariners Win
83% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
AI Mariners (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -1.2
C
Sim Mariners (+1.5) Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus 👑 Top Selection
AI o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.8
B
Sim o7.5 Win
Proj Total: 8.0
B
Head-to-Head History
Date Game Score
Sep 27, 2026 LAA @ SEA 3 - 7
Sep 26, 2026 LAA @ SEA 4 - 8
Sep 25, 2026 LAA @ SEA 7 - 5
Sep 24, 2026 LAA @ SEA 6 - 4
Sep 16, 2026 SEA @ LAA 7 - 2
Season Statistics Comparison
Los Angeles LAA
vs
Seattle SEA
162
Games Played
162
4.04
Runs / Game
▲ 4.10
.234 ▲
Avg (AVG)
.233
.310
On-Base (OBP)
▲ .314
.369
Slugging (SLG)
▲ .379
.679
OPS
▲ .693
154
Home Runs
▲ 182
Key Model Drivers
Errors (L5) +37.0% more
Seattle: 0.8 vs Los Angeles: 0.4
Home Runs (Season) +18.2% more
Seattle: 182.0 vs Los Angeles: 154.0
Runs per Game (Season) +1.5% more
Seattle: 4.1 vs Los Angeles: 4.0
OPS (Season) +1.4%
Seattle: 69.3% vs Los Angeles: 67.9%
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric Projected Actual
Score Game
LAA Score 3.8 2
SEA Score 5.0 6
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors 0.8 / 0.4 0.0 / 1.0
Hits 8.8 / 8.4 6.0 / 8.0
Home Runs 0.5 / 0.9 3.0 / 1.0
Strikeouts 8.3 / 10.4 8.0 / 6.0
Total Bases 11.4 / 12.6 15.0 / 14.0
Walks 2.8 / 3.3 2.0 / 2.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: -- → --
8%TICKETS92%
15%MONEY85%
Spread (ATS)
Open: -- → --
22%TICKETS78%
33%MONEY67%
Total (O/U)
Open: -- → --
88%TICKETS12%
87%MONEY13%
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
LAA
62-100-0 (38.3%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA Advantage
76-86-0 (46.9%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
LAA Advantage
(50.6%)
Margin: -0.6 ATS +/-:
SEA
(37.0%)
Margin: -0.4 ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
LAA
71-88-3
O: 44.7% / U: 55.4% Total +/-: +0.3
SEA
86-68-8
O: 55.8% / U: 44.2% Total +/-: +0.7
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
SEA
LAA
SEA
LAA
ML
50% 81-81
59% 96-66
52% 85-77
55% 89-73
ATS
60% 98-64
60% 97-65
59% 95-67
51% 82-80
TTL
56% 85-67-10
53% 83-74-5
53% 81-71-10
52% 82-75-5
Accuracy:
Elite (>60%)
Good (53-60%)
Neutral (48-52%)
Under (43-47%)
Danger (≤42%)
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