TEXAS
RANGERSTEX
80-82 | Road
6
TORONTO
BLUE JAYSTOR
79-83 | Home
5
Probable Pitchers
STARTING PITCHER
Jacob Latz
#67 | Relief Pitcher@
STARTING PITCHER
Luis Urias
#48 | Second Base| Player | W-L | ERA | WHIP | IP | K |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Latz | None-None | 1.89 | -- | 1.0 | 2 |
| Luis Urias | None-None | -- | -- | -- | -- |
None-None
W-L
None-None
1.89
ERA
--
--
WHIP
--
1.0
IP (Innings Pitched)
--
2
K (Strikeouts)
--
AI Model Win Probability
RANGERS
49%
BLUE JAYS
51%
RANGERS
--
BLUE JAYS
--
AI Model Projected Total
AI Projection
8.7
Projected
Book Total
--
Over / Under Line
Over 0
58%
Under 0
42%
AI Model Spread Expectation
AI Spread Proj
-0.1
TORONTO
Book Spread
--
Book Line
▲ Edge: +0.1 points (Toronto)
Spread Distribution
AI Model
+12+8+40-4-8-12
Distribution centered around TOR -0.1 expected margin.
Margin of Victory (TOR)
TEX By 1-2 runs
18.3%
TEX By 3-4 runs
13.3%
TOR By 1-2 runs
18.6%
TOR By 3-4 runs
13.9%
AI Model Projected Score
Texas
4.3
TEXAS
Toronto
4.4
TORONTO
Simulated Score
Texas
4
TEXAS
Toronto
6
TORONTO
Projections Grades
Moneyline (ML)
Agreement
AI
Blue Jays
Loss
51% Win Prob
D
Sim
Blue Jays
Loss
68% Win Prob
A
Run Line (ATS)
Agreement
👑 Top Selection
AI
Blue Jays (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -0.1
B
Sim
Blue Jays (+1.5)
Win
Proj Runs: -2.0
B
Over/Under (Total)
No Consensus
AI
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 8.7
C
Sim
o8.5
Win
Proj Total: 10.0
C
Head-to-Head History
Date
Game
Score
Sep 20, 2026
TOR @ TEX
7 - 2
Sep 19, 2026
TOR @ TEX
2 - 6
Sep 18, 2026
TOR @ TEX
1 - 7
Jun 28, 2026
TEX @ TOR
3 - 2
Jun 27, 2026
TEX @ TOR
7 - 4
Season Statistics Comparison
Texas
TEX
vs
Toronto
TOR
162
Games Played
162
4.15
▲
Runs / Game
4.00
.242
Avg (AVG)
▲
.247
.317
▲
On-Base (OBP)
.310
.396
▲
Slugging (SLG)
.381
.713
▲
OPS
.692
183
▲
Home Runs
152
Key Model Drivers
Walks (L5)
+118.2% more
Toronto: 6.1
vs
Texas: 2.8
Errors (L5)
+113.0% more
Toronto: 1.2
vs
Texas: 0.1
Batting Avg (Season)
+0.5%
Toronto: 24.7%
vs
Texas: 24.2%
Home Runs (Season)
+16.9% more
Texas: 183.0
vs
Toronto: 152.0
Post-Mortem Analysis
Metric
Projected
Actual
Score Game
TEX Score
4.3
6
TOR Score
4.4
5
Team Stats Splits (Home / Away)
Errors
1.2 / 0.1
0.0 / 0.0
Hits
8.2 / 8.4
6.0 / 10.0
Home Runs
1.4 / 1.6
1.0 / 3.0
Strikeouts
8.2 / 9.8
5.0 / 8.0
Total Bases
13.7 / 14.4
10.0 / 19.0
Walks
6.1 / 2.8
6.0 / 1.0
Public Market Splits
Moneyline
Open: --
→
--
Spread (ATS)
Open: --
→
--
Total (O/U)
Open: --
→
--
Situational Trends
📊 Win-Loss
TEX
Advantage
80-82-0
(49.4%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
TOR
79-83-0
(48.8%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
🎯 ATS (Spread)
TEX
Advantage
(48.2%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
TOR
(46.9%)
Margin: -0.3
ATS +/-:
⚖️ Over/Under
TEX
84-69-9
O: 54.9% / U: 45.1%
Total +/-: +0.6
TOR
81-76-5
O: 51.6% / U: 48.4%
Total +/-: +0.3
Season to Date Model Accuracy
AI Model
SIM Engine
TOR
TEX
TOR
TEX
ML
46%
74-87
53%
86-76
50%
80-80
57%
91-70
ATS
56%
90-71
57%
92-70
49%
79-81
61%
98-63
TTL
51%
80-76-5
53%
78-70-14
45%
70-85-5
55%
81-66-14
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